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Bundesliga

Referee: C Ciochirca

Mattersburg

T S T U S

2–3

Full-time

SK Rapid

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mattersburg SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,5

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 45%

33%

56%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,1

Conceded

2,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

7 Shots 26

3 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 16

1 Offside 0

19 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mattersburg 7. · SK Rapid 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	9	8	1	0	+31	25
2	LASK	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Wolfsberger AC	9	6	1	2	+13	19
4	SK Rapid	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Sturm Graz	9	5	1	3	+6	16
6	Hartberg	9	3	3	3	-2	12
7	Mattersburg	9	3	1	5	-10	10
8	Tirol	9	2	3	4	-5	9
9	Austria Vienna	9	2	2	5	-7	8
10	Altach	9	2	1	6	-4	7
11	St. Polten	9	1	3	5	-19	6
12	Admira	9	0	2	7	-22	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	Wolfsberger AC	5	3	1	1	+10	10
3	Sturm Graz	5	3	0	2	+5	9
4	Altach	5	2	1	2	+4	7
5	SK Rapid	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Hartberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	LASK	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Austria Vienna	4	1	1	2	-3	4
9	Tirol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
10	Mattersburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Admira	4	0	1	3	-6	1
12	St. Polten	4	0	1	3	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	Salzburg	4	3	1	0	+12	10
3	SK Rapid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Wolfsberger AC	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sturm Graz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Mattersburg	4	2	0	2	-4	6
7	Tirol	5	1	2	2	-1	5
8	Hartberg	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	St. Polten	5	1	2	2	-8	5
10	Austria Vienna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Admira	5	0	1	4	-16	1
12	Altach	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.