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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Ein Frankfurt
T S T S T
2–2
Full-time
Dortmund
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,3
3,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
17 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 9. · Dortmund 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 5 4 1 0 +10 13
2 Bayern Munich 5 3 2 0 +12 11
3 Freiburg 5 3 1 1 +7 10
4 Schalke 04 5 3 1 1 +5 10
5 M'gladbach 5 3 1 1 +2 10
6 Leverkusen 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +8 9
8 Wolfsburg 4 2 2 0 +4 8
9 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Werder Bremen 5 2 0 3 -4 6
11 Augsburg 5 1 2 2 -4 5
12 Fortuna Dusseldorf 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Union Berlin 5 1 1 3 -5 4
15 Hertha 5 1 1 3 -6 4
16 FC Koln 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Mainz 5 1 0 4 -10 3
18 Paderborn 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
11′
A. Witsel 0–1
T. Hazard
32′
🟨 Mats Hummels
1–1 André Silva
D. Sow
43′
Half-time 1–1
63′
🔁 D. Zagadou
↦ M. Hummels
Almamy Touré 🟨
65′
66′
J. Sancho 1–2
A. Witsel
D. Kamada 🔁
↦ D. Kohr
67′
73′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ J. Sancho
76′
🔁 M. Götze
↦ Paco Alcácer
B. Dost 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
79′
T. Chandler 🔁
↦ A. Touré
83′
86′
🟨 Achraf Hakimi
1–3 T. Delaney
own goal
88′
Timothy Chandler 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-1-4-2
1 K. Trapp G
20 M. Hasebe D
13 M. Hinteregger D
25 E. Durm M
18 A. Touré D
5 G. Fernandes M
10 F. Kostić M
28 D. Kohr M
8 D. Sow M
39 Gonçalo Paciência F
33 André Silva F
Bench (9)
15 D. Kamada
9 B. Dost
22 T. Chandler
7 D. Joveljić
24 D. da Costa
19 D. Abraham
2 O. N'Dicka
16 Lucas Torró
32 F. Rønnow

Coach: A. Hütter

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
16 M. Akanji D
5 A. Hakimi D
28 A. Witsel M
6 T. Delaney M
7 J. Sancho M
11 M. Reus M
23 T. Hazard M
9 Paco Alcácer F
Bench (9)
2 D. Zagadou
19 J. Brandt
10 M. Götze
20 J. Hupe
34 J. Bruun Larsen
33 J. Weigl
29 M. Schmelzer
26 Ł. Piszczek
8 M. Dahoud

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,29
U ✓
4,22
B
1,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.