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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Leverkusen
S U S S S
0–0
Full-time
Hoffenheim
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,8
3,7
Scored
3,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,5
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
20 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
19 Corners 0
4 Offside 4
7 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 5. · Hoffenheim 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Freiburg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Leverkusen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 Bayern Munich 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 +0 4
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -3 1
12 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 -3 1
13 Augsburg 2 0 1 1 -4 1
14 Union Berlin 2 0 1 1 -4 1
15 Paderborn 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Werder Bremen 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
18 Mainz 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Hoffenheim
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Stefan Posch
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ K. Demirbay
62′
L. Alario 🔁
↦ K. Volland
62′
62′
🔁 J. Locadia
↦ I. Belfodil
73′
🔁 K. Akpoguma
↦ E. Bičakčić
83′
🔁 D. Samassekou
↦ F. Grillitsch
J. Baumgartlinger 🔁
↦ C. Aránguiz
89′
Lucas Alario 🟨
90′
Jonathan Tah 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Kevin Vogt
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-1-4-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
5 S. Bender D
18 Wendell D
4 J. Tah D
8 L. Bender D
20 C. Aránguiz M
38 K. Bellarabi M
10 K. Demirbay M
29 K. Havertz M
31 K. Volland F
9 L. Bailey M
Bench (9)
11 N. Amiri
13 L. Alario
15 J. Baumgartlinger
6 A. Dragović
22 D. Sinkgraven
28 R. Özcan
7 Paulinho
23 M. Weiser
19 M. Diaby

Coach: P. Bosz

Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
1 O. Baumann G
22 K. Vogt D
4 E. Bičakčić D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
5 K. Stafylidis D
38 S. Posch D
16 S. Rudy M
11 F. Grillitsch M
8 D. Geiger M
19 I. Belfodil F
9 I. Bebou M
Bench (9)
37 J. Locadia
25 K. Akpoguma
18 D. Samassekou
13 L. Bittencourt
12 P. Pentke
7 L. Rupp
29 R. Skov
31 Lucas Ribeiro
2 J. Brenet

Coach: A. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,55
U ✓
4,88
B
5,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,35
U2,5 ✓
3,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.