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Bundesliga
Referee: J Spurny
Salzburg
S S S U S
3–0
Full-time
Tirol
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
21 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Salzburg 4. · Tirol 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 SK Rapid 2 1 1 0 +4 4
3 A. Klagenfurt 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Wolfsberger AC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Hartberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
7 A. Lustenau 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 LASK 2 0 1 1 -2 1
9 BW Linz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
10 Tirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
11 Austria Vienna 1 0 0 1 -3 0
12 Altach 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Salzburg Tirol
35′
🟨 Julius Ertlthaler
36′
🟨 Kofi Schulz
42′
🟨 Dominik Stumberger
Half-time 1–0
1–0 K. Konaté ⚽
M. Kjærgaard
57′
62′
🔁 L. Sulzbacher
↦ S. Ogrinec
62′
🔁 J. Forst
↦ A. Buksa
N. Dorgeles 🔁
↦ R. Šimić
66′
67′
🔁 C. Üstündag
↦ J. Ertlthaler
D. Kameri 🔁
↦ L. Gourna-Douath
77′
O. Gloukh 🔁
↦ A. Forson
77′
80′
🔁 D. Jaunegg
↦ L. Kronberger
80′
🔁 Y. Vötter
↦ V. Müller
85′
🟨 David Jaunegg
2–0 K. Konaté ⚽
O. Solet
87′
L. Morgalla 🔁
↦ A. Terzić
90′
3–0 N. Dorgeles ⚽
A. Dedić
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-1-2
24 A. Schlager G
70 A. Dedić D
22 O. Solet D
31 S. Pavlović D
3 A. Terzić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
27 L. Gourna-Douath M
14 M. Kjærgaard M
32 A. Forson M
19 K. Konaté F
23 R. Šimić F
Bench (7)
45 N. Dorgeles
8 D. Kameri
30 O. Gloukh
39 L. Morgalla
1 N. Mantl
55 L. Wallner
6 S. Baidoo

Coach: G. Struber

Tirol

4-3-1-2
40 A. Stejskal G
14 A. Ranacher D
3 D. Gugganig D
26 D. Štumberger D
44 K. Schulz D
7 L. Kronberger M
4 V. Müller M
77 J. Ertlthaler M
98 S. Ogrinec M
11 A. Buksa F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
6 L. Sulzbacher
19 J. Forst
20 C. Üstündag
27 D. Jaunegg
21 Y. Vötter
17 J. Naschberger
13 B. Ozegovic

Coach: T. Silberberger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

J Spurny · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.