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Bundesliga

Referee: A Talic

A. Lustenau

T S U U U

2–4

Full-time

Tirol

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

A. Lustenau Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

34%

31%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

55%

59%

Both score Ø 57%

55%

59%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

53% Possession 47%

11 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 7

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match A. Lustenau 5. · Tirol 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	29	21	7	1	+43	70
2	Sturm Graz	29	19	6	4	+28	63
3	LASK	29	13	11	5	+16	50
4	Austria Vienna	29	11	8	10	+5	41
5	A. Lustenau	29	10	9	10	-6	39
6	SK Rapid	29	11	5	13	+3	38
7	Tirol	29	9	7	13	-9	34
8	A. Klagenfurt	29	10	4	15	-18	34
9	Wolfsberger AC	29	9	6	14	-5	33
10	Hartberg	29	8	6	15	-13	30
11	Altach	30	6	8	16	-24	26
12	Ried	30	4	11	15	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	15	11	1	3	+15	34
2	Salzburg	14	8	6	0	+16	30
3	LASK	15	8	3	4	+8	27
4	Austria Vienna	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	A. Lustenau	14	6	4	4	-1	22
6	SK Rapid	14	6	3	5	+6	21
7	Tirol	15	4	5	6	-6	17
8	Hartberg	14	4	3	7	-4	15
9	A. Klagenfurt	14	4	2	8	-9	14
10	Altach	15	3	4	8	-8	13
11	Ried	15	2	6	7	-9	12
12	Wolfsberger AC	15	2	4	9	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	15	13	1	1	+27	40
2	Sturm Graz	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	LASK	14	5	8	1	+8	23
4	Wolfsberger AC	14	7	2	5	+4	23
5	A. Klagenfurt	15	6	2	7	-9	20
6	Austria Vienna	14	4	5	5	-1	17
7	SK Rapid	15	5	2	8	-3	17
8	Tirol	14	5	2	7	-3	17
9	A. Lustenau	15	4	5	6	-5	17
10	Hartberg	15	4	3	8	-9	15
11	Altach	15	3	4	8	-16	13
12	Ried	15	2	5	8	-11	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.