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Bundesliga

Referee: A Sadikovski

Tirol

S S U S S

1–3

Full-time

Salzburg

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,7

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 62%

47%

76%

Points per game

1,6

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

76%

53%

Both score Ø 56%

71%

41%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

14 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tirol 4. · Salzburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Sturm Graz	18	11	6	1	+17	39
3	LASK	18	8	7	3	+10	31
4	Tirol	17	8	3	6	+2	27
5	Austria Vienna	17	7	5	5	+2	26
6	SK Rapid	17	7	3	7	+6	24
7	A. Klagenfurt	18	6	3	9	-8	21
8	Wolfsberger AC	18	6	2	10	-3	20
9	A. Lustenau	17	4	6	7	-9	18
10	Altach	17	4	3	10	-15	15
11	Ried	18	3	5	10	-13	14
12	Hartberg	18	4	2	12	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	9	7	1	1	+10	22
2	Salzburg	9	6	3	0	+13	21
3	LASK	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Austria Vienna	9	4	2	3	+1	14
5	A. Lustenau	8	3	3	2	-1	12
6	Tirol	8	3	3	2	-3	12
7	SK Rapid	8	3	1	4	+1	10
8	Ried	9	2	3	4	-4	9
9	Altach	9	2	2	5	-5	8
10	A. Klagenfurt	9	2	1	6	-8	7
11	Hartberg	9	2	1	6	-9	7
12	Wolfsberger AC	9	1	1	7	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	8	7	0	1	+15	21
2	Sturm Graz	9	4	5	0	+7	17
3	LASK	9	4	4	1	+7	16
4	Wolfsberger AC	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	Tirol	9	5	0	4	+5	15
6	SK Rapid	9	4	2	3	+5	14
7	A. Klagenfurt	9	4	2	3	+0	14
8	Austria Vienna	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	Hartberg	9	2	1	6	-8	7
10	Altach	8	2	1	5	-10	7
11	A. Lustenau	9	1	3	5	-8	6
12	Ried	9	1	2	6	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.