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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Austria Vienna
S U S U T
2–2
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

65% Possession 35%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Austria Vienna 6. · Sturm Graz 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 SK Rapid 7 4 2 1 +2 14
2 Wolfsberger AC 7 4 1 2 +8 13
3 BW Linz 7 4 1 2 +0 13
4 Sturm Graz 6 4 0 2 +3 12
5 Salzburg 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Austria Vienna 6 2 2 2 +1 8
7 Altach 7 2 2 3 +0 8
8 A. Klagenfurt 6 2 2 2 -2 8
9 LASK 7 2 0 5 -5 6
10 Tirol 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 Grazer AK 7 0 4 3 -5 4
12 Hartberg 5 0 3 2 -3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Oct -23 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 0–1 30. Jul -23 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 0–3 7. May -23 Austria Vienna – Sturm Graz 1–2 26. Apr -23 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 3–2 12. Mar -23 Sturm Graz – Austria Vienna 3–1

Match report

Austria Vienna Sturm Graz
24′
⚽ W. Bøving 0–1
J. Gorenc Stankovič
Matteo Perez Vinlöf 🟨
35′
41′
⚽ S. Jatta 0–2
M. Yalcouyé
Half-time 0–2
46′
🟨 Seedy Jatta
48′
🟨 Emir Karić
Abubakr Barry 🟨
49′
53′
🟨 Emir Karić
53′
🟥 Emir Karić
57′
🟨 Seedy Jatta
57′
🟥 Seedy Jatta
Manfred Fischer 🟨
59′
1–2 M. Vinlöf ⚽
A. Barry
60′
61′
🔁 T. Chukwuani
↦ M. Yalcouyé
61′
🔁 E. Aiwu
↦ A. Camara
P. Wiesinger 🔁
↦ M. Vinlöf
64′
M. Wels 🔁
↦ M. Fischer
64′
M. Raguž 🔁
↦ A. Gruber
67′
2–2 Lucas Galvão ⚽
D. Fitz
74′
75′
🔁 M. Biereth
↦ W. Bøving
Dominik Fitz 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 T. Horvat
↦ O. Kiteishvili
Cristiano 🔁
↦ M. Malone
84′
88′
🟨 Jusuf Gazibegović
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Austria Vienna

4-2-3-1
1 S. Şahin-Radlinger G
26 R. Ranftl D
15 A. Dragović D
3 Lucas Galvão D
18 M. Vinlöf D
30 M. Fischer M
5 A. Barry M
17 A. Gruber M
36 D. Fitz M
77 M. Malone M
11 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
28 P. Wiesinger
37 M. Wels
29 M. Raguž
70 Cristiano
99 M. Kos
19 M. Potzmann
6 P. Maybach

Coach: S. Helm

Sturm Graz

4-2-2-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
24 D. Lavalée D
17 E. Karić D
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
8 M. Yalcouyé M
15 W. Bøving M
36 A. Camara F
20 S. Jatta F
Bench (7)
21 T. Chukwuani
47 E. Aiwu
18 M. Biereth
19 T. Horvat
14 L. Zvonarek
53 D. Khudyakov
9 E. Yardımcı

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.