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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
Sturm Graz
U T S T S
4–2
Full-time
LASK
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz LASK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
62%
43%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
76%
71%
Both score Ø 69%
62%
76%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
21 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 1. · LASK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 21 13 4 4 +21 43
2 Austria Vienna 21 13 4 4 +15 43
3 Wolfsberger AC 21 11 3 7 +15 36
4 Salzburg 21 9 8 4 +10 35
5 SK Rapid 21 8 7 6 +5 31
6 LASK 21 9 4 8 +1 31
7 BW Linz 21 9 3 9 -2 30
8 Hartberg 21 6 8 7 -4 26
9 A. Klagenfurt 21 5 5 11 -22 20
10 Tirol 21 4 7 10 -9 19
11 Grazer AK 21 3 7 11 -15 16
12 Altach 21 3 6 12 -15 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz LASK
1–0 T. Horvat
J. Gorenc Stankovič
31′
Half-time 1–0
Otar Kiteishvili ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
48′
49′
🟨 Jérôme Boateng
2–0 O. Kiteishvili
50′
Dimitri Lavalėe 🟥
67′
69′
🟨 George Bello
N. Geyrhofer 🔁
↦ L. Grgić
69′
74′
🔁 C. Lang
↦ S. Adeniran
74′
🔁 L. Pintor
↦ I. Coulibaly
77′
M. Cissé 2–1
R. Žulj
3–1 W. Bøving
T. Horvat
83′
85′
R. Žulj 3–2
S. Jatta 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
86′
T. Chukwuani 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
86′
89′
🔁 A. Midžić
↦ J. Boateng
93′
🔁 Q. Tchicamboud
↦ I. Ljubic
4–2 W. Bøving
96′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ M. Yalcouyé
97′
A. Malić 🔁
↦ M. Johnston
97′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
2 M. Johnston D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
17 E. Karić D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 M. Yalcouyé M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
38 L. Grgić F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
35 N. Geyrhofer
20 S. Jatta
21 T. Chukwuani
25 S. Hierländer
23 A. Malić
36 A. Camara
53 D. Khudyakov

Coach: J. Säumel

LASK

4-4-2
1 T. Lawal G
6 M. Bogarde D
48 M. Cissé D
17 J. Boateng D
2 G. Bello D
10 R. Žulj M
21 I. Ljubic M
32 I. Coulibaly M
14 V. Berisha M
11 M. Entrup F
7 S. Adeniran F
Bench (7)
27 C. Lang
19 L. Pintor
46 A. Midžić
47 Q. Tchicamboud
41 E. Michael
35 M. Sulzner
33 T. Schützenauer

Coach: M. Schopp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Jäeger · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.