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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäeger
BW Linz
S S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Tirol
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Tirol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
37%
21%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
58%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%
24 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match BW Linz 7. · Tirol 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 19 12 4 3 +22 40
2 Austria Vienna 20 12 4 4 +13 40
3 Wolfsberger AC 20 11 3 6 +16 36
4 Salzburg 19 8 7 4 +8 31
5 SK Rapid 20 8 7 5 +6 31
6 LASK 19 7 4 8 -1 25
7 BW Linz 19 7 3 9 -4 24
8 Hartberg 20 5 8 7 -5 23
9 A. Klagenfurt 19 5 5 9 -19 20
10 Tirol 19 4 7 8 -7 19
11 Grazer AK 20 3 7 10 -14 16
12 Altach 20 3 5 12 -15 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

BW Linz Tirol
1–0 Ronivaldo
Anderson
1′
Ronivaldo 🟨
21′
30′
J. David 1–1
Half-time 1–1
E. Bakatukanda 🔁
↦ M. Moormann
56′
58′
🟨 David Jaunegg
64′
🔁 C. Üstündag
↦ B. Blume
64′
🔁 T. Anselm
↦ M. Diarra
A. Schmidt 🔁
↦ K. Dobras
66′
Soumaila Diabate 🟨
71′
81′
🔁 L. Hinterseer
↦ Q. Butler
T. Goiginger 🔁
↦ P. Mensah
87′
2–1 A. Pašić
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

BW Linz

3-4-2-1
1 R. Vítek G
17 A. Pašić D
15 M. Maranda D
16 M. Moormann D
28 Anderson M
18 S. Diabaté M
19 A. Briedl M
60 S. Pirkl M
10 P. Mensah F
30 K. Dobras F
9 Ronivaldo F
Bench (7)
4 E. Bakatukanda
13 A. Schmidt
27 T. Goiginger
20 S. Seidl
24 T. Turner
2 F. Strauß
5 D. Mitrović

Coach: G. Scheiblehner

Tirol

5-3-2
40 A. Stejskal G
7 Q. Butler D
24 J. David D
5 J. Lawrence D
3 D. Gugganig D
27 D. Jaunegg D
30 M. Taferner M
4 V. Müller M
17 J. Naschberger M
8 M. Diarra F
10 B. Blume F
Bench (7)
20 C. Üstündag
11 T. Anselm
16 L. Hinterseer
33 F. Rieder
14 A. Ranacher
22 O. Okungbowa
1 P. Schermer

Coach: P. Semlic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Jäeger · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.