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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ciochirca
BW Linz
S T T U T
3–2
Full-time
Ried
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

BW Linz Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
39%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
43%
48%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

4,04 xG 1,15
61% Possession 39%
33 Shots 4
9 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 0
7 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match BW Linz 12. · Ried 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 24 13 3 8 +10 +7.0 42
2 Salzburg 24 10 8 6 +15 +9.3 38
3 LASK 23 11 5 7 +2 +6.4 38
4 SK Rapid 23 10 6 7 +2 -3.0 36
5 Austria Vienna 23 11 3 9 +1 +1.5 36
6 Hartberg 23 8 10 5 +5 -5.2 34
7 Altach 23 8 8 7 +1 -4.1 32
8 Tirol 23 8 7 8 +0 +4.7 31
9 Ried 23 9 4 10 -3 -2.0 31
10 Wolfsberger AC 23 7 5 11 -3 -10.4 26
11 Grazer AK 23 5 8 10 -12 -1.6 23
12 BW Linz 23 4 3 16 -18 -2.5 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Nov -25 Ried – BW Linz 2–1 23. Aug -25 BW Linz – Ried 0–2

Match report

BW Linz Ried
3′
⚽ P. Kiedl 0–1
18′
⚽ P. Kiedl 0–2
F. Rossdorfer
Dominik Reiter 🟨
20′
23′
🟨 Martin Rasner
30′
🟥 Nicolas Bajlicz
Alexander Briedl ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
33′
Ronivaldo 🔁
↦ C. Cvetko
40′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 J. Scherzer
↦ J. Nasrawe
48′
🟨 Peter Kiedl
1–2 A. Briedl ⚽
54′
57′
🔁 A. Bajic
↦ F. Rossdorfer
58′
🔁 Y. Maart
↦ M. Rasner
2–2 S. Seidl ⚽
64′
71′
🔁 K. Mutandwa
↦ P. Kiedl
76′
🟨 Joris Boguo
D. Riegler 🔁
↦ D. Bumberger
76′
T. Goiginger 🔁
↦ F. Strauss
76′
80′
🔁 A. van Wyk
↦ J. Boguo
3–2 Ronivaldo ⚽
83′
S. Pirkl 🔁
↦ D. Reiter
92′
M. Fofana 🔁
↦
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

BW Linz

3-4-2-1
58 N. Mantl G
17 A. Pasic D
15 M. Maranda D
2 F. Strauss D
29 D. Reiter M
14 C. Cvetko M
19 A. Briedl M
23 D. Bumberger M
30 N. Maier F
20 S. Seidl F
18 S. Weissman F
Bench (9)
24 T. Turner
9 Ronivaldo
26 C. Conde
6 M. Fofana
22 D. Riegler
27 T. Goiginger
60 S. Pirkl
16 M. Moormann
10 P. Mensah

Coach: Michael Kollner

Ried

3-4-1-2
1 A. Leitner G
25 D. Kirnbauer D
5 N. Havenaar D
30 O. Steurer D
18 F. Rossdorfer M
26 J. Mayer M
8 M. Rasner M
19 J. Nasrawe M
28 N. Bajlicz F
13 P. Kiedl F
15 J. Boguo F
Bench (9)
34 D. Stoger
3 J. Scherzer
12 A. Bajic
17 P. Pomer
6 Y. Maart
7 K. Mutandwa
24 C. Wernitznig
9 S. Sane
29 A. van Wyk

Coach: Maximilian Senft

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Ciochirca · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.