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Bundesliga

Referee: F Jager

Tirol

T T S U S

2–0

Full-time

Grazer AK

T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Grazer AK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 26%

33%

19%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

62%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,04 xG 0,27

50% Possession 50%

17 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Tirol 8. · Grazer AK 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	21	10	7	4	+17	+7.0	37
2	Sturm Graz	21	11	2	8	+5	+5.6	35
3	LASK	21	10	4	7	+0	+2.0	34
4	Austria Vienna	21	10	3	8	+2	+1.1	33
5	Hartberg	21	8	8	5	+5	-3.7	32
6	SK Rapid	21	8	6	7	+0	-1.0	30
7	Altach	21	7	8	6	+1	-1.3	29
8	Tirol	21	7	7	7	-1	+5.0	28
9	Ried	21	8	4	9	-2	-1.4	28
10	Wolfsberger AC	21	7	5	9	+1	-6.7	26
11	Grazer AK	21	4	8	9	-12	-2.4	20
12	BW Linz	21	4	2	15	-16	-4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	11	5	5	1	+4	+2.2	20
2	LASK	10	6	1	3	+1	+0.0	19
3	Salzburg	11	5	3	3	+8	+4.9	18
4	Austria Vienna	11	5	2	4	-1	+2.1	17
5	Wolfsberger AC	11	4	3	4	+2	-3.3	15
6	Tirol	10	4	3	3	+2	+2.4	15
7	Hartberg	10	4	3	3	+2	+0.1	15
8	Ried	10	4	3	3	+1	+0.2	15
9	SK Rapid	10	4	2	4	+1	+0.1	14
10	Grazer AK	11	3	5	3	-1	+0.8	14
11	Sturm Graz	10	4	1	5	-4	+1.8	13
12	BW Linz	11	3	1	7	-4	-0.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	11	7	1	3	+9	+3.8	22
2	Salzburg	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.1	19
3	Hartberg	11	4	5	2	+3	-3.8	17
4	Austria Vienna	10	5	1	4	+3	-1.0	16
5	SK Rapid	11	4	4	3	-1	-1.1	16
6	LASK	11	4	3	4	-1	+2.0	15
7	Ried	11	4	1	6	-3	-1.6	13
8	Tirol	11	3	4	4	-3	+2.6	13
9	Wolfsberger AC	10	3	2	5	-1	-3.4	11
10	Altach	10	2	3	5	-3	-3.5	9
11	Grazer AK	10	1	3	6	-11	-3.1	6
12	BW Linz	10	1	1	8	-12	-3.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.