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Pro League
Referee: Kevin van Damme
Waregem
T S S T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
This season — Pro League · 29/25 matches
Win Ø 35%
41%
28%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
59%
60%
Both score Ø 53%
38%
68%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 22 7 1 +46 73
2 Gent 29 17 7 5 +29 58
3 Charleroi 30 16 10 4 +29 58
4 Antwerp 29 15 8 6 +20 53
5 Standard 30 15 7 8 +20 52
6 Genk 30 14 6 10 +9 48
7 Mechelen 29 13 5 11 -1 44
8 Waregem 29 12 5 12 +5 41
9 Anderlecht 29 9 12 8 +2 39
10 St Truiden 30 10 6 14 -11 36
11 Kortrijk 30 10 5 15 -6 35
12 Mouscron 26 8 9 9 -1 33
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 7 9 9 -2 30
14 Eupen 29 8 6 15 -20 30
15 Cercle Brugge 29 6 4 19 -27 22
16 Oostende 30 6 4 20 -30 22
17 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20
18 Beveren 26 5 5 16 -31 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron
17′
🔁 S. Perica
↦ F. Olinga
31′
J. Osabutey 0–1
Aleix García
Olivier Deschacht 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–2
50′
Aleix García 0–2
A. Ciranni
57′
🟨 Kevin Wimmer
1–2 D. De fauw
57′
Gideon Mensah 🟨
60′
67′
🔁 B. Van Durmen
↦ R. Pietrzak
B. Srarfi 🔁
↦ O. Govea
76′
J. Dompé 🔁
↦ S. Walsh
82′
83′
🟨 Lasse Sobiech
88′
🔁 M. Bakić
↦ Aleix García
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
44 E. Bansen G
2 D. De fauw D
45 O. Deschacht D
14 S. Walsh D
4 G. Mensah M
10 O. Govea M
6 A. Sissako M
22 J. Vossen F
19 G. Bruno F
38 S. Berahino F
9 C. Larin F
Bench (7)
11 B. Srarfi
17 J. Dompé
43 N. Kainourgios
25 L. Bostyn
67 J. Van Hecke
3 M. Baudry
27 D. Oberlin

Coach: F. Dury

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
44 L. Sobiech D
25 R. Pietrzak D
33 K. Wimmer D
13 A. Ciranni D
6 D. Hočko M
11 D. Mohamed M
24 Aleix García M
15 F. Boya M
7 F. Olinga F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
18 S. Perica
30 B. Van Durmen
10 M. Bakić
28 J. Huyghebaert
23 Diogo Queirós
34 N. Gillekens
27 A. Ippolito

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin van Damme · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
18,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.