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Eredivisie

Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf

Vitesse

S S U U T

4–2

Full-time

Heerenveen

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 39%

45%

32%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 64%

50%

77%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 5

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 6. · Heerenveen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	21	16	2	3	+43	50
2	AZ Alkmaar	22	15	2	5	+29	47
3	PSV Eindhoven	23	12	6	5	+24	42
4	Feyenoord	21	11	7	3	+11	40
5	Willem II	22	12	4	6	+5	40
6	Vitesse	22	10	5	7	+9	35
7	Utrecht	21	10	4	7	+12	34
8	Groningen	22	9	5	8	+4	32
9	Heracles	23	8	5	10	+3	29
10	Heerenveen	22	7	8	7	+3	29
11	Sparta Rotterdam	22	7	6	9	-4	27
12	Twente	23	7	6	10	-9	27
13	FC Emmen	23	7	5	11	-14	26
14	For Sittard	23	6	6	11	-22	24
15	VVV Venlo	23	7	3	13	-25	24
16	Zwolle	22	6	4	12	-16	22
17	Den Haag	23	4	5	14	-25	17
18	Waalwijk	22	3	3	16	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	10	0	1	+31	30
2	PSV Eindhoven	11	8	2	1	+20	26
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	8	1	2	+18	25
4	Feyenoord	11	7	3	1	+11	24
5	FC Emmen	11	7	2	2	+9	23
6	Groningen	11	7	1	3	+9	22
7	Sparta Rotterdam	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Willem II	11	6	3	2	+6	21
9	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	+5	21
10	Heracles	11	6	1	4	+11	19
11	Utrecht	10	6	0	4	+13	18
12	Vitesse	10	5	3	2	+7	18
13	Twente	12	5	3	4	+2	18
14	VVV Venlo	12	5	2	5	-7	17
15	Heerenveen	12	3	7	2	+1	16
16	Zwolle	10	4	2	4	-2	14
17	Den Haag	12	2	5	5	-6	11
18	Waalwijk	11	2	2	7	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	11	7	1	3	+11	22
2	Ajax	10	6	2	2	+12	20
3	Willem II	11	6	1	4	-1	19
4	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	+2	17
5	PSV Eindhoven	12	4	4	4	+4	16
6	Feyenoord	10	4	4	2	+0	16
7	Utrecht	11	4	4	3	-1	16
8	Heerenveen	10	4	1	5	+2	13
9	Groningen	11	2	4	5	-5	10
10	Heracles	12	2	4	6	-8	10
11	Twente	11	2	3	6	-11	9
12	Zwolle	12	2	2	8	-14	8
13	VVV Venlo	11	2	1	8	-18	7
14	Sparta Rotterdam	11	1	3	7	-15	6
15	Den Haag	11	2	0	9	-19	6
16	Waalwijk	11	1	1	9	-21	4
17	FC Emmen	12	0	3	9	-23	3
18	For Sittard	11	0	3	8	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.