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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Willem II
U S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Utrecht
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 52%
55%
48%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 54%
45%
62%
Average goals
2,6
3,3
Scored
1,4
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 1
8 Goalkeeper saves 4
13 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Willem II 5. · Utrecht 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 22 17 2 3 +46 53
2 AZ Alkmaar 22 15 2 5 +29 47
3 PSV Eindhoven 23 12 6 5 +24 42
4 Feyenoord 21 11 7 3 +11 40
5 Willem II 22 12 4 6 +5 40
6 Vitesse 23 11 5 7 +11 38
7 Groningen 23 10 5 8 +5 35
8 Utrecht 21 10 4 7 +12 34
9 Heracles 23 8 5 10 +3 29
10 Heerenveen 23 7 8 8 +1 29
11 Sparta Rotterdam 23 7 6 10 -5 27
12 Twente 23 7 6 10 -9 27
13 FC Emmen 23 7 5 11 -14 26
14 For Sittard 23 6 6 11 -22 24
15 VVV Venlo 23 7 3 13 -25 24
16 Zwolle 22 6 4 12 -16 22
17 Den Haag 23 4 5 14 -25 17
18 Waalwijk 23 3 3 17 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II Utrecht
4′
J. Bahebeck 0–1
G. Kerk
Half-time 0–1
65′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ J. Bahebeck
72′
🔁 B. Ramselaar
↦ K. Peterson
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
78′
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ D. Dankerlui
78′
M. Vrousai 🔁
↦ C. Nunnely
82′
G. Sağlam 🔁
↦ J. Peters
88′
89′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ G. Kerk
90′
🟨 Simon Gustafsson
1–1 P. Gladon
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
18 M. Nelom D
25 S. Holmén D
26 B. Nieuwkoop D
15 D. Dankerlui M
17 D. Saddiki M
21 M. Ndayishimiye M
10 V. Pavlidis F
11 M. Köhlert F
7 C. Nunnely F
Bench (8)
9 P. Gladon
16 M. Vrousai
23 G. Sağlam
14 E. Kabangu
33 R. Zuijderwijk
32 D. Ryan
12 M. Woud
13 G. Strezos

Coach: A. Koster

Utrecht

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 L. Guwara D
17 S. Klaiber D
3 J. Hoogma D
28 U. Emanuelson D
6 A. Maher M
22 S. van de Streek M
10 S. Gustafson M
9 J. Bahebeck F
19 K. Peterson F
7 G. Kerk F
Bench (9)
8 J. van Overeem
25 B. Ramselaar
20 L. Sané
18 J. Lonwijk
21 I. Abass
33 T. St. Jago
2 M. van der Maarel
41 F. de Keijzer
51 J. Houweling

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,56
U ✓
3,49
B
2,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,74
U2,5 ✓
2,09
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.