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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
St. Gallen
S S S U U
4–1
Full-time
Luzern
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Super League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
80%
47%
Both score Ø 60%
77%
43%
Average goals
3,6
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

49% Possession 51%
19 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 2. · Luzern 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 31 18 7 6 +29 61
2 St. Gallen 30 18 5 7 +20 59
3 Basel 31 17 4 10 +31 55
4 Servette 31 11 12 8 +13 45
5 Luzern 30 12 6 12 -3 42
6 Zurich 30 12 6 12 -16 42
7 Lugano 31 8 12 11 -4 36
8 Thun 31 8 5 18 -27 29
9 Sion 30 7 7 16 -18 28
10 Xamax 31 4 12 15 -25 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St. Gallen Luzern
1–0 André Ribeiro ⚽
J. Guillemenot
9′
2–0 C. Itten ⚽
S. Hefti
27′
28′
🟨 M. Schulz
3–0 C. Itten ⚽
Jordi Quintillà
29′
V. Ruiz 🟨
32′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 S. Sidler
↦ O. Kakabadze
46′
🔁 B. Eleke
↦ M. Schulz
4–0 Jordi Quintillà ⚽
49′
55′
🟨 D. Mistrafovic
55′
🔁 A. Binous
↦ F. Margiotta
57′
🔁 M. Marleku
↦ Ryder Matos
60′
⚽ M. Marleku 4–1
P. Schürpf
B. Fazliji 🟨
64′
A. Bakayoko 🔁
↦ Víctor Ruiz
65′
V. Rüfli 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
65′
70′
🟨 B. Eleke
T. Staubli 🔁
↦ André Ribeiro
74′
76′
🟨 S. A. Binous
Angelo Campos 🔁
↦ C. Itten
79′
S. Hefti 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 T. Owusu
↦ P. Schürpf
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
30 L. Ati-Zigi G
21 M. Muheim D
36 S. Hefti D
4 L. Stergiou D
8 Jordi Quintillà M
23 B. Fazliji D
16 L. Görtler M
13 C. Itten F
7 Víctor Ruiz M
9 J. Guillemenot F
19 André Ribeiro M
Bench (7)
11 A. Bakayoko
99 V. Rüfli
26 T. Staubli
52 Angelo Campos
18 J. Klinsmann
29 A. Kräuchi
33 M. Nuhu

Coach: P. Zeidler

Luzern

4-3-3
32 M. Müller G
17 S. Grether D
2 O. Kakabadze M
5 Lucão D
6 M. Bürki D
15 M. Schulz M
42 I. Voca M
11 P. Schürpf F
25 D. Mistrafovic D
77 Ryder Matos F
9 F. Margiotta F
Bench (7)
34 S. Sidler
10 B. Eleke
73 A. Binous
39 M. Marleku
18 T. Owusu
21 A. Balaruban
23 S. Enzler

Coach: F. Celestini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

L Fähndrich · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.