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Super League

Referee: U Schnyder

Luzern

U S T U S

3–0

Full-time

Thun

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Thun

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 34%

41%

26%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

44%

59%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,4

3,1

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%

17 Shots 11

9 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 6. · Thun 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	27	17	3	7	+19	54
2	Young Boys	27	15	7	5	+21	52
3	Basel	28	15	4	9	+27	49
4	Servette	28	10	11	7	+13	41
5	Zurich	28	12	5	11	-12	41
6	Luzern	27	11	5	11	-4	38
7	Lugano	27	8	9	10	-1	33
8	Thun	27	7	4	16	-23	25
9	Sion	27	6	6	15	-18	24
10	Xamax	28	4	10	14	-22	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	11	2	0	+24	35
2	Basel	14	9	2	3	+20	29
3	St. Gallen	14	8	2	4	+8	26
4	Servette	13	6	5	2	+10	23
5	Zurich	14	7	2	5	-6	23
6	Luzern	13	6	3	4	+1	21
7	Lugano	14	4	6	4	-2	18
8	Thun	14	4	3	7	-11	15
9	Sion	14	3	4	7	-6	13
10	Xamax	14	2	3	9	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	13	9	1	3	+11	28
2	Basel	14	6	2	6	+7	20
3	Servette	15	4	6	5	+3	18
4	Zurich	14	5	3	6	-6	18
5	Young Boys	14	4	5	5	-3	17
6	Luzern	14	5	2	7	-5	17
7	Lugano	13	4	3	6	+1	15
8	Xamax	14	2	7	5	-13	13
9	Sion	13	3	2	8	-12	11
10	Thun	13	3	1	9	-12	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.