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Bundesliga

Referee: D Siebert

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T T U U

1–4

Full-time

M'gladbach

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 40%

19%

60%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

62%

65%

Both score Ø 59%

57%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. · M'gladbach 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	22	13	6	3	+31	45
2	Bayern Munich	21	13	4	4	+35	43
3	Dortmund	22	12	6	4	+31	42
4	Leverkusen	22	12	4	6	+9	40
5	M'gladbach	20	12	3	5	+15	39
6	Schalke 04	21	9	8	4	+5	35
7	Freiburg	22	9	6	7	+0	33
8	Hoffenheim	22	10	3	9	-2	33
9	Wolfsburg	22	8	7	7	+0	31
10	Ein Frankfurt	22	8	4	10	+2	28
11	Augsburg	22	7	6	9	-11	27
12	Union Berlin	22	8	2	12	-8	26
13	Hertha	22	7	5	10	-11	26
14	FC Koln	20	7	2	11	-11	23
15	Mainz	21	7	0	14	-17	21
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	21	4	5	12	-22	17
17	Werder Bremen	22	4	5	13	-26	17
18	Paderborn	22	4	4	14	-20	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	11	8	3	0	+30	27
2	M'gladbach	10	8	1	1	+14	25
3	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+19	24
4	Bayern Munich	11	7	2	2	+24	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+12	21
6	Schalke 04	11	5	5	1	+5	20
7	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Augsburg	11	5	3	3	+4	18
9	Union Berlin	11	6	0	5	+2	18
10	Freiburg	10	5	2	3	+2	17
11	FC Koln	10	5	1	4	+4	16
12	Hoffenheim	12	5	1	6	-6	16
13	Wolfsburg	11	3	5	3	-1	14
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Hertha	11	3	2	6	-9	11
16	Mainz	10	3	0	7	-8	9
17	Paderborn	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Werder Bremen	10	1	2	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	11	6	3	2	+12	21
2	Leverkusen	11	7	0	4	+3	21
3	Bayern Munich	10	6	2	2	+11	20
4	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Wolfsburg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
6	Freiburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
7	Dortmund	11	4	3	4	+1	15
8	Schalke 04	10	4	3	3	+0	15
9	Hertha	11	4	3	4	-2	15
10	M'gladbach	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Mainz	11	4	0	7	-9	12
12	Werder Bremen	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-7	9
14	Augsburg	11	2	3	6	-15	9
15	Union Berlin	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	1	8	-10	7
17	FC Koln	10	2	1	7	-15	7
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	1	3	7	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.