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Super League
Referee: U Schnyder
Zurich
U S U U T
2–1
Full-time
Luzern
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Super League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
42%
46%
Both score Ø 54%
50%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 8. · Luzern 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 24 14 9 1 +39 51
2 Servette 24 8 11 5 -1 35
3 St. Gallen 24 9 7 8 +11 34
4 Lugano 24 9 7 8 +2 34
5 Luzern 24 8 9 7 +2 33
6 Basel 24 7 10 7 +5 31
7 Grasshoppers 24 7 7 10 -4 28
8 Zurich 24 5 10 9 -13 25
9 Sion 24 5 8 11 -18 23
10 Winterthur 24 5 8 11 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Jan -23 Luzern – Zurich 2–2 23. Jul -22 Zurich – Luzern 0–0 22. May -22 Zurich – Luzern 2–3 2. Mar -22 Luzern – Zurich 0–2 4. Dec -21 Zurich – Luzern 4–0

Match report

Zurich Luzern
21′
⚽ M. Meyer 0–1
1–1 T. Aiyegun ⚽
32′
Half-time 1–1
60′
🟨 Severin Ottiger
Cheick Oumar Conde 🟨
67′
B. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ I. Mathew
67′
73′
🔁 S. Chader
↦ S. Ottiger
2–1 T. Aiyegun ⚽
F. Aliti
76′
M. Hornschuh 🔁
↦ B. Džemaili
82′
83′
🔁 M. Diambou
↦ D. Sorgić
84′
🔁 B. Kimpioka
↦ P. Schürpf
Bledian Krasniqi 🟨
91′
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ T. Aiyegun
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Zurich

3-1-4-2
25 Y. Brecher G
4 B. Omeragić D
24 N. Katić D
2 L. Kamberi D
17 C. Condé M
19 N. Boranijašević M
12 I. Mathew M
21 B. Džemaili M
6 F. Aliti M
15 T. Aiyegun F
10 A. Marchesano F
Bench (9)
7 B. Krasniqi
16 M. Hornschuh
23 F. Rohner
38 C. Ligue
1 Ž. Kostadinović
33 S. Seiler
11 J. Okita
31 M. Kryeziu
22 R. Šimić

Coach: B. Henriksen

Luzern

4-3-1-2
38 P. Loretz G
74 S. Ottiger D
5 D. Simani D
30 I. Beka D
13 M. Frýdek D
20 P. Dorn M
6 A. Jashari M
18 N. Beloko M
7 M. Meyer M
11 P. Schürpf F
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (7)
69 S. Chader
15 M. Diambou
77 B. Kimpioka
4 L. Jaquez
90 V. Vasić
14 L. Breedijk
17 T. Klidjé

Coach: M. Frick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

U Schnyder · 155 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.