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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Basel

S U U U T

2–0

Full-time

Winterthur

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Winterthur

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

28%

24%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

44%

40%

Both score Ø 58%

56%

60%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%

8 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

6 Offside 6

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 6. · Winterthur 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	26	15	9	2	+41	54
2	Servette	26	9	12	5	+0	39
3	Lugano	25	9	8	8	+2	35
4	St. Gallen	25	9	7	9	+10	34
5	Luzern	25	8	9	8	+1	33
6	Basel	25	7	10	8	+2	31
7	Grasshoppers	25	8	7	10	-3	31
8	Zurich	25	6	10	9	-12	28
9	Winterthur	25	6	8	11	-22	26
10	Sion	25	5	8	12	-19	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	10	3	0	+31	33
2	Servette	13	6	6	1	+6	24
3	St. Gallen	12	6	5	1	+11	23
4	Grasshoppers	12	6	2	4	+3	20
5	Lugano	13	5	4	4	+2	19
6	Winterthur	13	5	4	4	-9	19
7	Basel	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Zurich	13	3	6	4	-4	15
9	Luzern	12	3	5	4	-1	14
10	Sion	13	2	3	8	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	13	5	6	2	+10	21
2	Luzern	13	5	4	4	+2	19
3	Lugano	12	4	4	4	+0	16
4	Servette	13	3	6	4	-6	15
5	Sion	12	3	5	4	-4	14
6	Basel	13	3	4	6	-4	13
7	Zurich	12	3	4	5	-8	13
8	St. Gallen	13	3	2	8	-1	11
9	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	-6	11
10	Winterthur	12	1	4	7	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.