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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Winterthur
T U U U T
1–0
Full-time
St. Gallen
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Winterthur St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
This season — Super League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
21%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 67%
63%
71%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Winterthur 10. · St. Gallen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 24 14 9 1 +39 51
2 Servette 24 8 11 5 -1 35
3 St. Gallen 24 9 7 8 +11 34
4 Lugano 24 9 7 8 +2 34
5 Luzern 25 8 9 8 +1 33
6 Basel 24 7 10 7 +5 31
7 Grasshoppers 25 8 7 10 -3 31
8 Zurich 25 6 10 9 -12 28
9 Sion 25 5 8 12 -19 23
10 Winterthur 24 5 8 11 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Winterthur St. Gallen
2′
🟥 Julian Von Moos
R. Gelmi 🔁
↦ G. Lekaj
29′
Remo Arnold 🟨
33′
45′
🟨 Lukas Görtler
Half-time 0–0
N. Holenstein 🔁
↦ S. Diaby
46′
E. Abedini 🔁
↦ R. Arnold
46′
1–0 N. Holenstein
53′
54′
🔁 L. Dajaku
↦ E. Latte Lath
54′
🔁 W. Geubbels
↦ C. Akolo
Eris Abedini 🟨
70′
70′
🟨 Isaac Schmidt
76′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ G. Karlen
77′
🔁 R. Schneider
↦ I. Schmidt
H. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ J. Ardaiz
83′
N. Manzambi 🔁
↦ R. Buess
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Winterthur

4-4-1-1
30 M. Kuster G
15 M. Gonçalves D
25 Y. Schmid D
23 G. Lekaj D
3 T. Schättin D
10 M. Di Giusto M
44 F. Rodríguez M
16 R. Arnold M
18 S. Diaby M
9 R. Buess F
11 J. Ardaiz F
Bench (7)
5 R. Gelmi
22 N. Holenstein
77 E. Abedini
40 H. Kryeziu
7 N. Manzambi
27 A. Abaz
20 C. Chiappetta

Coach: B. Berner

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
20 A. Vallçi D
4 L. Stergiou D
5 M. Maglica D
33 I. Schmidt D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
23 G. Karlen M
10 C. Akolo M
22 E. Latte Lath F
11 J. von Moos F
Bench (9)
77 L. Dajaku
69 W. Geubbels
93 N. Ndombasi
27 R. Schneider
25 L. Watkowiak
29 A. Kräuchi
24 M. Kempter
6 B. Stillhart
30 P. Sutter

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.