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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
St. Gallen
T U U T T
1–2
Full-time
Lugano
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
31%
34%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
55%
48%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
23 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 6. · Lugano 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 30 17 10 3 +45 61
2 Luzern 29 11 9 9 +6 42
3 Servette 29 9 14 6 -5 41
4 Lugano 29 10 10 9 +3 40
5 Grasshoppers 30 11 7 12 -2 40
6 St. Gallen 29 9 9 11 +8 36
7 Basel 29 8 12 9 +2 36
8 Zurich 29 7 12 10 -14 33
9 Sion 29 7 9 13 -18 30
10 Winterthur 29 7 8 14 -25 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Apr -23 Lugano – St. Gallen 1–1 16. Oct -22 St. Gallen – Lugano 1–1 28. Aug -22 Lugano – St. Gallen 2–3 24. Apr -22 St. Gallen – Lugano 3–0 19. Feb -22 Lugano – St. Gallen 0–2

Match report

St. Gallen Lugano
15′
🟨 Allan Arigoni
1–0 C. Witzig ⚽
J. Guillemenot
19′
34′
🔁 M. Valenzuela
↦ A. Hajdari
Jérémy Guillemenot 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Espinoza
↦ A. Arigoni
57′
⚽ M. Amoura 1–1
R. Steffen
58′
ℹ️ Renato Steffen
VAR: Goal confirmed
Isaac Schmidt 🟨
61′
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ J. von Moos
63′
N. Ndombasi 🔁
↦ E. Latte Lath
63′
Matej Maglica 🟨
66′
Lawrence Ati 🟨
67′
76′
🔁 Ž. Celar
↦ M. Amoura
76′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ M. Bottani
A. Besio 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
84′
A. Vallçi 🔁
↦ M. Maglica
84′
84′
🔁 U. Bislimi
↦ I. Aliseda
86′
⚽ U. Bislimi 1–2
J. Espinoza
R. Schneider 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
30 P. Sutter D
4 L. Stergiou D
5 M. Maglica D
33 I. Schmidt D
37 C. Witzig M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
16 L. Görtler M
11 J. von Moos F
22 E. Latte Lath F
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (9)
10 C. Akolo
93 N. Ndombasi
31 A. Besio
20 A. Vallçi
27 R. Schneider
23 G. Karlen
25 L. Watkowiak
6 B. Stillhart
24 M. Kempter

Coach: P. Zeidler

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
4 K. Hajrizi D
30 F. Daprelà D
5 A. Hajdari D
14 J. Sabbatini M
20 O. Doumbia M
47 M. Amoura M
10 M. Bottani M
11 R. Steffen M
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (8)
23 M. Valenzuela
6 J. Espinoza
9 Ž. Celar
77 R. Macek
25 U. Bislimi
58 S. Osigwe
7 M. Facchinetti
24 C. Nkama

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Cibelli · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.