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Super League
Referee: S Horisberger
Lugano
S T T T S
2–3
Full-time
St. Gallen
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — Super League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
40%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 7. · St. Gallen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 5 3 2 0 +10 11
2 Servette 6 3 2 1 +1 11
3 St. Gallen 5 3 0 2 +5 9
4 Grasshoppers 6 2 3 1 +0 9
5 Luzern 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Sion 6 2 2 2 -1 8
7 Lugano 5 2 0 3 +2 6
8 Basel 4 0 3 1 -2 3
9 Winterthur 5 0 2 3 -6 2
10 Zurich 5 0 2 3 -9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano St. Gallen
Jonathan Sabbatini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
5′
🟨 Patrick Sutter
1–0 Ž. Celar
6′
29′
J. Guillemenot 1–1
C. Akolo
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–1
U. Bislimi 🔁
↦ H. Mahmoud
46′
47′
C. Witzig 1–2
L. Görtler
Reto Ziegler 🟨
57′
59′
🔁 E. Latte Lath
↦ J. Guillemenot
59′
🔁 R. Schneider
↦ F. Schubert
59′
L. Görtler 1–3
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ H. Mahou
63′
B. Babic 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
63′
63′
🔁 I. Schmidt
↦ C. Akolo
2–3 B. Babic
A. Arigoni
65′
70′
🔁 G. Karlen
↦ P. Sutter
70′
🔁 A. Vallçi
↦ C. Witzig
R. Macek 🔁
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
75′
L. Mai 🔁
↦ A. Arigoni
75′
79′
🟨 Daouda Guindo
93′
🟨 Albert Vallci
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Lugano

4-3-3
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
30 F. Daprelà D
3 R. Ziegler D
17 M. Valenzuela D
29 H. Mahmoud M
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini M
18 H. Mahou F
9 Ž. Celar F
11 M. Haile-Selassie F
Bench (9)
25 U. Bislimi
47 M. Amoura
27 B. Babic
77 R. Macek
15 L. Mai
58 S. Osigwe
33 A. Casciato
5 A. Hajdari
26 D. Mina

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
25 L. Watkowiak G
30 P. Sutter D
4 L. Stergiou D
6 B. Stillhart D
19 D. Guindo D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
7 F. Schubert M
9 J. Guillemenot F
77 C. Akolo F
Bench (9)
22 E. Latte Lath
27 R. Schneider
33 I. Schmidt
23 G. Karlen
20 A. Vallçi
28 R. Azevedo
5 M. Maglica
11 J. von Moos
35 B. Dumrath

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.