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Super League
Referee: S Wolfensberger
St. Gallen
S S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Lugano
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Lugano 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 10 7 2 1 +18 23
2 Servette 10 5 3 2 +3 18
3 Sion 11 5 3 3 +1 18
4 St. Gallen 10 5 0 5 +4 15
5 Lugano 10 5 0 5 +1 15
6 Grasshoppers 11 3 5 3 -2 14
7 Basel 9 3 3 3 +3 12
8 Luzern 10 3 3 4 +1 12
9 Winterthur 11 2 3 6 -16 9
10 Zurich 10 0 4 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Aug -22 Lugano – St. Gallen 2–3 24. Apr -22 St. Gallen – Lugano 3–0 19. Feb -22 Lugano – St. Gallen 0–2 11. Dec -21 St. Gallen – Lugano 1–1 8. Aug -21 Lugano – St. Gallen 2–1

Match report

St. Gallen Lugano
Lukas Görtler 🟨
5′
1–0 C. Akolo ⚽
D. Guindo
9′
Albert Vallci 🟨
10′
Isaac Schmidt 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Allan Arigoni
E. Latte Lath 🔁
↦ J. Guillemenot
46′
R. Schneider 🔁
↦ G. Karlen
46′
58′
🔁 Ž. Celar
↦ B. Babic
58′
🔁 M. Bottani
↦ U. Bislimi
60′
🟨 Amir Saipi
J. von Moos 🔁
↦ C. Akolo
68′
69′
🔁 M. Amoura
↦ R. Steffen
69′
🔁 M. Haile-Selassie
↦ H. Mahou
79′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ A. Arigoni
83′
⚽ Ž. Celar 1–1
M. Haile-Selassie
L. Stergiou 🔁
↦ P. Sutter
86′
C. Witzig 🔁
↦ I. Schmidt
86′
94′
🟨 Maren Haile-Selassie
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
30 P. Sutter D
6 B. Stillhart D
20 A. Vallçi D
19 D. Guindo D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
33 I. Schmidt M
23 G. Karlen M
9 J. Guillemenot F
77 C. Akolo F
Bench (9)
22 E. Latte Lath
27 R. Schneider
11 J. von Moos
4 L. Stergiou
37 C. Witzig
34 S. Guidotti
25 L. Watkowiak
29 A. Kräuchi
5 M. Maglica

Coach: P. Zeidler

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
15 L. Mai D
5 A. Hajdari D
17 M. Valenzuela D
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini M
22 R. Steffen M
25 U. Bislimi M
18 H. Mahou M
27 B. Babic F
Bench (9)
9 Ž. Celar
10 M. Bottani
47 M. Amoura
11 M. Haile-Selassie
77 R. Macek
8 A. Durrer
4 K. Hajrizi
46 F. Stöber
58 S. Osigwe

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Wolfensberger · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.