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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

St. Gallen

T T T T U

1–0

Full-time

Lausanne Ouchy

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen Lausanne Ouchy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

46%

13%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

54%

67%

Both score Ø 61%

54%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,44 xG 0,46

58% Possession 42%

18 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 1

6 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St. Gallen 4. · Lausanne Ouchy 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	24	15	6	3	+29	+2.6	51
2	Servette	24	12	8	4	+13	+16.1	44
3	Zurich	24	10	9	5	+12	+2.7	39
4	St. Gallen	24	11	4	9	+6	+10.6	37
5	Lugano	24	10	4	10	+4	+3.3	34
6	Luzern	24	10	4	10	-3	+1.3	34
7	Winterthur	24	9	6	9	-5	-4.2	33
8	Yverdon	24	8	6	10	-16	-11.1	30
9	Grasshoppers	24	8	4	12	+0	-6.0	28
10	Basel	24	8	4	12	-8	-7.5	28
11	Lausanne	24	6	7	11	-6	+3.7	25
12	Lausanne Ouchy	24	3	6	15	-26	-11.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	10	2	0	+25	+5.1	32
2	St. Gallen	12	9	1	2	+12	+5.9	28
3	Servette	12	7	4	1	+11	+9.1	25
4	Luzern	12	8	1	3	+6	+2.8	25
5	Yverdon	12	7	3	2	+3	-0.8	24
6	Zurich	12	6	5	1	+8	+1.0	23
7	Winterthur	12	6	3	3	+1	+0.9	21
8	Grasshoppers	12	6	2	4	+8	-0.8	20
9	Lausanne	12	5	3	4	+4	+1.6	18
10	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+2	+2.4	18
11	Basel	12	5	2	5	+1	-3.8	17
12	Lausanne Ouchy	12	1	5	6	-15	-4.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	5	4	3	+4	-2.5	19
2	Servette	12	5	4	3	+2	+7.0	19
3	Zurich	12	4	4	4	+4	+1.7	16
4	Lugano	12	5	1	6	+2	+0.9	16
5	Winterthur	12	3	3	6	-6	-5.2	12
6	Basel	12	3	2	7	-9	-3.6	11
7	St. Gallen	12	2	3	7	-6	+4.7	9
8	Luzern	12	2	3	7	-9	-1.5	9
9	Grasshoppers	12	2	2	8	-8	-5.3	8
10	Lausanne	12	1	4	7	-10	+2.1	7
11	Lausanne Ouchy	12	2	1	9	-11	-7.4	7
12	Yverdon	12	1	3	8	-19	-10.3	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.