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Super League
Referee: A Dudic
Luzern
S S T U T
1–1
Full-time
St. Gallen
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Super League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 67%
64%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
11 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 4. · St. Gallen 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 33 19 11 3 +51 68
2 Servette 34 13 15 6 +6 54
3 Lugano 33 13 11 9 +9 50
4 Luzern 33 12 10 11 +2 46
5 Grasshoppers 33 12 7 14 -5 43
6 Basel 33 10 12 11 -1 42
7 St. Gallen 33 10 10 13 +10 40
8 Zurich 33 8 14 11 -16 38
9 Winterthur 34 8 8 18 -31 32
10 Sion 33 7 10 16 -25 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern St. Gallen
Max Meyer 🟨
15′
Ardon Jashari 🟨
18′
1–0 L. Villiger
24′
Half-time 1–1
49′
E. Latte Lath 1–1
J. von Moos
57′
🟨 Lukas Görtler
64′
🟨 Matej Maglica
Asumah Abubakar 🔁
↦ M. Dräger
65′
70′
🔁 W. Geubbels
↦ C. Witzig
70′
🔁 I. Schmidt
↦ J. Guillemenot
Denis Simani ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
73′
Denis Simani 🟥
75′
S. Ottiger 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
78′
83′
🔁 N. Ndombasi
↦ P. Sutter
83′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ J. von Moos
L. Breedijk 🔁
↦ M. Meyer
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luzern

3-4-2-1
90 V. Vasić G
46 M. Burch D
5 D. Simani D
30 I. Beka D
2 M. Dräger M
18 N. Beloko M
6 A. Jashari M
13 M. Frýdek M
7 M. Meyer F
20 P. Dorn F
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (9)
21 Asumah Abubakar
74 S. Ottiger
14 L. Breedijk
42 M. Willimann
15 M. Diambou
44 D. Heller
40 R. Fernandes
41 N. Rupp
64 M. Stevanovic

Coach: M. Frick

St. Gallen

4-3-3
1 L. Ati-Zigi G
30 P. Sutter D
4 L. Stergiou D
5 M. Maglica D
24 M. Kempter D
16 L. Görtler M
8 Jordi Quintillà M
37 C. Witzig M
11 J. von Moos F
22 E. Latte Lath F
9 J. Guillemenot F
Bench (9)
69 W. Geubbels
33 I. Schmidt
93 N. Ndombasi
10 C. Akolo
20 A. Vallçi
6 B. Stillhart
23 G. Karlen
28 R. Alves
25 L. Watkowiak

Coach: P. Zeidler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Dudic · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.