Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Bundesliga

Referee: M Schmidt

Mainz

U T S U U

0–5

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Mainz RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 43%

31%

54%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

77%

69%

Both score Ø 64%

62%

65%

Average goals

3,5

Scored

1,4

2,4

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

34% Possession 66%

4 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 9

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mainz 15. · RB Leipzig 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	27	19	4	4	+52	61
2	Dortmund	27	17	6	4	+41	57
3	Leverkusen	27	16	5	6	+20	53
4	M'gladbach	27	16	4	7	+19	52
5	RB Leipzig	26	14	9	3	+36	51
6	Wolfsburg	27	10	9	8	+3	39
7	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	-2	37
8	Schalke 04	27	9	10	8	-10	37
9	Hoffenheim	27	10	6	11	-11	36
10	Hertha	27	9	7	11	-9	34
11	FC Koln	26	10	3	13	-6	33
12	Augsburg	27	8	6	13	-14	30
13	Union Berlin	27	9	3	15	-15	30
14	Ein Frankfurt	26	8	4	14	-8	28
15	Mainz	26	8	3	15	-19	27
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	5	8	13	-23	23
17	Werder Bremen	26	5	6	15	-30	21
18	Paderborn	27	4	6	17	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	13	10	3	0	+35	33
2	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+30	32
3	M'gladbach	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	5	1	+19	26
5	Leverkusen	13	7	4	2	+12	25
6	Ein Frankfurt	13	6	3	4	+9	21
7	Schalke 04	14	5	6	3	-3	21
8	FC Koln	13	6	2	5	+4	20
9	Freiburg	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	Union Berlin	13	6	1	6	+0	19
11	Augsburg	13	5	3	5	+2	18
12	Wolfsburg	14	4	6	4	+1	18
13	Hoffenheim	14	5	1	8	-15	16
14	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Mainz	13	4	2	7	-6	14
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-10	13
17	Paderborn	14	2	2	10	-14	8
18	Werder Bremen	12	1	2	9	-21	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	2	2	+22	29
2	Leverkusen	14	9	1	4	+8	28
3	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+17	25
4	Dortmund	14	7	3	4	+6	24
5	M'gladbach	13	7	2	4	+7	23
6	Wolfsburg	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Hoffenheim	13	5	5	3	+4	20
8	Hertha	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Freiburg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
10	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-7	16
11	Werder Bremen	14	4	4	6	-9	16
12	FC Koln	13	4	1	8	-10	13
13	Mainz	13	4	1	8	-13	13
14	Augsburg	14	3	3	8	-16	12
15	Union Berlin	14	3	2	9	-15	11
16	Paderborn	13	2	4	7	-10	10
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	2	4	7	-13	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	13	2	1	10	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.