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Bundesliga

Referee: G Winkmann

RB Leipzig

S T U U T

8–0

Full-time

Mainz

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

67%

78%

Both score Ø 73%

78%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,1

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–0

67% Possession 33%

19 Shots 10

12 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 7. · Mainz 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Bayern Munich	9	5	3	1	+13	18
3	Freiburg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
4	Wolfsburg	9	4	5	0	+6	17
5	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+1	17
6	Dortmund	9	4	4	1	+9	16
7	RB Leipzig	9	4	3	2	+7	15
8	Schalke 04	9	4	3	2	+5	15
9	Leverkusen	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	+2	14
11	Hertha	9	3	2	4	-1	11
12	Werder Bremen	9	2	4	3	-4	10
13	Mainz	9	3	0	6	-9	9
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	1	6	-6	7
15	Union Berlin	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-10	7
17	Augsburg	9	1	4	4	-11	7
18	Paderborn	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+9	10
3	Dortmund	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Leverkusen	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Hoffenheim	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Schalke 04	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Hertha	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Union Berlin	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Werder Bremen	4	1	1	2	-4	4
17	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Paderborn	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	3	1	1	+8	10
2	M'gladbach	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Dortmund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Hertha	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	FC Koln	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-9	3
16	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Paderborn	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.