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Superligaen

Referee: J Sundberg

FC Copenhagen

T S S T T

3–1

Full-time

Aarhus

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Aarhus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Superligaen · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 67%

69%

65%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,37 xG 1,10

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match FC Copenhagen 2. · Aarhus 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	26	15	4	7	+14	+5.3	49
2	FC Copenhagen	26	13	8	5	+13	+13.7	47
3	Brondby	27	12	10	5	+15	+8.0	46
4	Silkeborg	27	11	9	7	+16	+7.0	42
5	Randers FC	27	11	8	8	+9	+8.1	41
6	Aarhus	26	10	10	6	+18	+8.8	40
7	Viborg	27	10	9	8	+5	-6.2	39
8	Nordsjaelland	26	11	6	9	+3	+6.5	39
9	Sonderjyske	27	8	5	14	-21	-11.9	29
10	Aalborg	27	5	8	14	-27	-21.0	23
11	Lyngby	27	3	11	13	-15	-7.6	20
12	Vejle	27	4	6	17	-30	-10.8	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Midtjylland	13	11	0	2	+11	+4.2	33
2	Nordsjaelland	13	8	4	1	+14	+5.3	28
3	FC Copenhagen	13	8	4	1	+11	+9.9	28
4	Aarhus	13	7	6	0	+18	+7.7	27
5	Brondby	14	7	6	1	+10	+5.9	27
6	Viborg	14	8	3	3	+5	-4.2	27
7	Randers FC	13	7	3	3	+10	+7.3	24
8	Silkeborg	13	6	4	3	+7	+1.9	22
9	Sonderjyske	13	4	3	6	-12	-8.5	15
10	Aalborg	14	3	4	7	-14	-10.9	13
11	Lyngby	13	2	5	6	-8	-2.0	11
12	Vejle	14	2	5	7	-14	-2.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Silkeborg	14	5	5	4	+9	+5.1	20
2	Brondby	13	5	4	4	+5	+2.1	19
3	FC Copenhagen	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.8	19
4	Randers FC	14	4	5	5	-1	+0.8	17
5	Midtjylland	13	4	4	5	+3	+1.2	16
6	Sonderjyske	14	4	2	8	-9	-3.4	14
7	Aarhus	13	3	4	6	+0	+1.1	13
8	Viborg	13	2	6	5	+0	-1.9	12
9	Nordsjaelland	13	3	2	8	-11	+1.1	11
10	Aalborg	13	2	4	7	-13	-10.1	10
11	Lyngby	14	1	6	7	-7	-5.6	9
12	Vejle	13	2	1	10	-16	-8.0	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.