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Eliteserien

Referee: Daniel Higraff

Fredrikstad

U S T S S

3–1

Full-time

Sandefjord

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sandefjord

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 9%

17%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 3/2 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,76 xG 2,09

36% Possession 64%

9 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 2. · Sandefjord 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rosenborg	3	3	0	0	+4	+3.8	9
2	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	+4	-2.9	6
3	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.2	6
4	Viking	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.7	6
5	Brann	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.9	6
6	Kristiansund	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.5	6
7	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.4	4
8	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.1	4
9	Stromsgodset	3	1	0	2	+3	-0.8	3
10	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.8	3
11	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
12	Tromso	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.1	3
13	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.1	3
14	Bryne	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.0	0
15	Molde	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	2	0	0	2	-6	-5.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fredrikstad	2	2	0	0	+5	-0.9	6
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.3	6
3	Brann	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.2	6
4	Sandefjord	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
5	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.3	3
6	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
7	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
8	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
9	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.0	3
10	Tromso	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
11	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.4	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
13	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.8	0
14	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
16	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rosenborg	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.8	6
2	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.0	3
3	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
6	Valerenga	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.5	1
7	Bryne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
8	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.0	0
9	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.6	0
10	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
11	Viking	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.4	0
12	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
13	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
14	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
15	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.3	0
16	Brann	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.