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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

2–1

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

3,2

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 65%

73%

57%

Points per game

2,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

80%

67%

Both score Ø 62%

57%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,1

Scored

3,0

1,9

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

11 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 5

13 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · M'gladbach 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	22	4	4	+60	70
2	Dortmund	31	20	6	5	+47	66
3	RB Leipzig	31	17	11	3	+45	62
4	M'gladbach	30	17	5	8	+21	56
5	Leverkusen	30	17	5	8	+16	56
6	Wolfsburg	31	12	10	9	+6	46
7	Hoffenheim	31	12	7	12	-10	43
8	Freiburg	31	11	9	11	-2	42
9	Ein Frankfurt	31	11	5	15	-3	38
10	Hertha	31	10	8	13	-11	38
11	Schalke 04	30	9	11	10	-12	38
12	FC Koln	31	10	5	16	-11	35
13	Union Berlin	31	10	5	16	-17	35
14	Augsburg	30	8	8	14	-16	32
15	Mainz	30	9	4	17	-23	31
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	6	10	15	-28	28
17	Werder Bremen	31	7	7	17	-29	28
18	Paderborn	31	4	8	19	-33	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	15	11	3	1	+35	36
2	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+35	35
3	M'gladbach	15	10	2	3	+15	32
4	RB Leipzig	15	7	7	1	+19	28
5	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+7	25
6	Freiburg	15	7	2	6	+1	23
7	Ein Frankfurt	15	6	4	5	+7	22
8	FC Koln	16	6	3	7	+1	21
9	Union Berlin	15	6	3	6	+0	21
10	Schalke 04	15	5	6	4	-4	21
11	Augsburg	15	5	5	5	+2	20
12	Wolfsburg	16	4	7	5	+0	19
13	Hoffenheim	16	6	1	9	-15	19
14	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-11	18
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	4	5	7	-10	17
16	Mainz	15	4	2	9	-12	14
17	Paderborn	16	2	2	12	-23	8
18	Werder Bremen	15	1	3	11	-25	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	2	2	+25	35
2	RB Leipzig	16	10	4	2	+26	34
3	Leverkusen	15	10	1	4	+9	31
4	Dortmund	16	9	3	4	+12	30
5	Wolfsburg	15	8	3	4	+6	27
6	M'gladbach	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Hoffenheim	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Werder Bremen	16	6	4	6	-4	22
9	Hertha	15	5	5	5	+0	20
10	Freiburg	16	4	7	5	-3	19
11	Schalke 04	15	4	5	6	-8	17
12	Mainz	15	5	2	8	-11	17
13	Ein Frankfurt	16	5	1	10	-10	16
14	FC Koln	15	4	2	9	-12	14
15	Union Berlin	16	4	2	10	-17	14
16	Paderborn	15	2	6	7	-10	12
17	Augsburg	15	3	3	9	-18	12
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	2	5	8	-18	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.