Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Grasshoppers
Basel
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +11 | -1.6 | 31 |
| 2 |
Young Boys
|
14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +7 | -0.4 | 25 |
| 3 |
Basel
|
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +6 | +8.6 | 22 |
| 4 |
Lugano
|
13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +1 | +0.3 | 22 |
| 5 |
St. Gallen
|
12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | +9 | +3.2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Sion
|
14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | +5.8 | 20 |
| 7 |
Luzern
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +4 | -0.3 | 18 |
| 8 |
Zurich
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -6 | +2.9 | 17 |
| 9 |
Lausanne
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | +4 | +4.0 | 16 |
| 10 |
Servette
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -5 | +0.4 | 15 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -9 | -10.5 | 13 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | -12.4 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Hammel
G
A. Diaby
D
S. Stroscio
D
S. Marques
M
T. Meyer
M
O. Clemente
F
N. Muci
F
Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner
K. Tsunemoto
D
A. Barisic
D
F. Daniliuc
D
D. Schmid
D
I. Salah
M
A. Bacanin
M
L. Leroy
M
X. Shaqiri
F
M. Broschinski
F
Coach: Ludovic Magnin
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Winterthur
Grasshoppers
Luzern
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Young Boys
St. Gallen
Grasshoppers
Grasshoppers
Sion
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.