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Super League
Referee: Luca Piccolo
Grasshoppers
T T U T S
1–1
Full-time
Basel
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 39%
23%
54%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
69%
69%
Both score Ø 58%
62%
54%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,09 xG 2,68
41% Possession 59%
14 Shots 20
5 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 1
The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Basel 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 14 10 1 3 +11 -1.6 31
2 Young Boys 14 7 4 3 +7 -0.4 25
3 Basel 13 7 1 5 +6 +8.6 22
4 Lugano 13 7 1 5 +1 +0.3 22
5 St. Gallen 12 7 0 5 +9 +3.2 21
6 Sion 14 5 5 4 +3 +5.8 20
7 Luzern 14 4 6 4 +4 -0.3 18
8 Zurich 14 5 2 7 -6 +2.9 17
9 Lausanne 13 4 4 5 +4 +4.0 16
10 Servette 14 4 3 7 -5 +0.4 15
11 Grasshoppers 13 3 4 6 -9 -10.5 13
12 Winterthur 14 1 3 10 -25 -12.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Grasshoppers Basel
1–0 M. Ullmann
N. Muci
13′
33′
B. Traore 1–1
X. Shaqiri
Samuel Marques 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ M. Broschinski
59′
🔁 P. Otele
↦ B. Traore
59′
🔁 J. Agbonifo
↦ I. Salah
61′
🟨 Andrej Bačanin
M. Mantini 🔁
↦ T. Meyer
62′
S. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ S. Diarrassouba
62′
Simone Stroscio 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Andrej Bačanin
64′
🟥 Andrej Bačanin
67′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ X. Shaqiri
Samuel Marques 🟨
74′
Samuel Marques 🟥
74′
A. Arigoni 🔁
↦ M. Ullmann
77′
Allan Arigoni 🟨
82′
Simone Stroscio 🟨
90′
Simone Stroscio 🟥
90′
92′
🔁 M. Soticek
↦ K. Tsunemoto
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Grasshoppers

3-4-3
71 J. Hammel G
2 D. Abels D
15 A. Diaby D
28 S. Stroscio D
52 S. Marques M
14 L. Zvonarek M
8 T. Meyer M
31 M. Ullmann M
17 O. Clemente F
9 N. Muci F
11 S. Diarrassouba F
Bench (7)
1 N. Glaus
3 S. Decarli
16 M. Mantini
21 L. Kabashi
22 P. Creti
34 A. Arigoni
54 S. Krasniqi

Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner

Basel

4-4-1-1
1 M. Hitz G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
26 A. Barisic D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
21 I. Salah M
14 A. Bacanin M
22 L. Leroy M
11 B. Traore M
10 X. Shaqiri F
17 M. Broschinski F
Bench (9)
3 N. Vouilloz
7 P. Otele
8 K. Koindredi
9 J. Agbonifo
13 M. Salvi
19 M. Soticek
23 A. Ajeti
29 M. Cisse
32 J. Adjetey

Coach: Ludovic Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.