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Super League
Referee: Sven Wolfensberger
Basel
S S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Grasshoppers
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Grasshoppers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
5,5
3,3
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,88 xG 0,57
56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Basel 10. · Grasshoppers 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gallen 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.4 6
2 Young Boys 2 1 1 0 +2 +1.4 4
3 Luzern 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.5 3
4 Sion 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.5 3
5 Lausanne 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.9 3
6 Thun 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.1 3
7 Winterthur 2 0 1 1 -1 -2.3 1
8 Grasshoppers 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
9 Zurich 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.5 0
10 Basel 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
11 Lugano 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.1 0
12 Servette 2 0 0 2 -5 -4.2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Basel Grasshoppers
13′
🟨 Hassane Imourane
24′
🟨 Nikolas Muci
29′
🟨 Saulo Decarli
1–0 P. Otele
D. Schmid
44′
Half-time 1–0
A. Kade 🔁
↦ Junior Ze
55′
55′
🔁 A. Arigoni
↦ S. Stroscio
55′
🔁 L. Giandomenico
↦ S. Marques
Philip Otele 🟨
58′
61′
🔁 S. Diarrassouba
↦ N. Muci
69′
M. Paskotsi 1–1
L. Zvonarek
2–1 P. Otele
X. Shaqiri
75′
Kevin 🔁
↦ A. Ajeti
76′
Leo Leroy 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Maksim Paskotsi
81′
🔁 M. Mantini
↦ H. Imourane
K. Koindredi 🔁
↦ P. Otele
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
6 K. Tsunemoto D
32 J. Adjetey D
3 N. Vouilloz D
31 D. Schmid D
5 Metinho M
22 L. Leroy M
39 Junior Ze M
10 X. Shaqiri M
7 P. Otele M
23 A. Ajeti F
Bench (9)
13 M. Salvi
8 K. Koindredi
9 Kevin
19 M. Soticek
21 G. Sigua
26 A. Barisic
29 M. Cisse
30 A. Kade
46 Kaio Eduardo

Coach: Ludovic Magnin

Grasshoppers

3-4-3
71 J. Hammel G
2 D. Abels D
3 S. Decarli D
26 M. Paskotsi D
52 S. Marques M
14 L. Zvonarek M
5 H. Imourane M
28 S. Stroscio M
7 L. Plange F
9 N. Muci F
10 J. Asp F
Bench (9)
1 N. Glaus
8 T. Meyer
11 S. Diarrassouba
16 M. Mantini
27 T. Veron
34 A. Arigoni
51 L. Giandomenico
58 Y. Bettkober
73 D. Paloschi

Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.