Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Basel
Grasshoppers
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St. Gallen
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +2.4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Young Boys
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +1.4 | 4 |
| 3 |
Luzern
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 4 |
Sion
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.5 | 3 |
| 5 |
Lausanne
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +2.9 | 3 |
| 6 |
Thun
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +0.1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Winterthur
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.3 | 1 |
| 8 |
Grasshoppers
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 |
| 9 |
Zurich
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 |
| 10 |
Basel
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 11 |
Lugano
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Servette
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -4.2 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Tsunemoto
D
J. Adjetey
D
N. Vouilloz
D
D. Schmid
D
Metinho
M
L. Leroy
M
Junior Ze
M
X. Shaqiri
M
P. Otele
M
A. Ajeti
F
Coach: Ludovic Magnin
J. Hammel
G
M. Paskotsi
D
S. Marques
M
H. Imourane
M
S. Stroscio
M
L. Plange
F
N. Muci
F
J. Asp
F
Coach: Gerald Scheiblehner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
St. Gallen
Basel
Basel
Luzern
Young Boys
Basel
Lausanne
Basel
Lugano
Basel
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.