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Super League

Referee: M Drmic

Grasshoppers

U U T U T

1–0

Full-time

Lugano

U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grasshoppers Lugano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 33%

15%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

54%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

65%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,21 xG 0,78

28% Possession 72%

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 9

2 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grasshoppers 11. · Lugano 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	27	21	1	5	+33	+4.2	64
2	St. Gallen	27	15	5	7	+20	+9.2	50
3	Lugano	26	13	7	6	+12	-2.2	46
4	Basel	27	12	7	8	+6	+14.0	43
5	Sion	27	10	11	6	+9	+7.5	41
6	Young Boys	26	10	6	10	+0	-3.6	36
7	Luzern	27	8	9	10	+2	-1.8	33
8	Zurich	26	9	4	13	-11	-0.8	31
9	Lausanne	27	7	9	11	-4	+4.5	30
10	Servette	27	6	11	10	-7	+1.9	29
11	Grasshoppers	26	4	9	13	-13	-13.6	21
12	Winterthur	27	3	5	19	-47	-19.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	10	1	3	+16	+2.1	31
2	Lugano	13	8	3	2	+12	+0.8	27
3	Sion	14	7	4	3	+10	+3.9	25
4	St. Gallen	14	8	1	5	+9	+10.9	25
5	Young Boys	12	7	2	3	+14	+8.0	23
6	Basel	13	5	5	3	+7	+18.1	20
7	Lausanne	14	4	5	5	+2	+9.4	17
8	Zurich	13	5	1	7	-4	+2.7	16
9	Luzern	13	3	5	5	+1	+2.2	14
10	Servette	14	2	7	5	-5	-0.4	13
11	Grasshoppers	13	2	5	6	-2	-4.7	11
12	Winterthur	13	2	3	8	-14	-3.8	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	13	11	0	2	+17	+2.1	33
2	St. Gallen	13	7	4	2	+11	-1.7	25
3	Basel	14	7	2	5	-1	-4.1	23
4	Luzern	14	5	4	5	+1	-4.0	19
5	Lugano	13	5	4	4	+0	-3.0	19
6	Sion	13	3	7	3	-1	+3.6	16
7	Servette	13	4	4	5	-2	+2.3	16
8	Zurich	13	4	3	6	-7	-3.5	15
9	Lausanne	13	3	4	6	-6	-4.9	13
10	Young Boys	14	3	4	7	-14	-11.6	13
11	Grasshoppers	13	2	4	7	-11	-8.8	10
12	Winterthur	14	1	2	11	-33	-15.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.