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Super League

Referee: D Blanco

Luzern

T U S S U

1–0

Full-time

Zurich

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 32%

33%

31%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 82%

83%

81%

Both score Ø 74%

78%

69%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,21 xG 1,78

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

10 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 7. · Zurich 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	36	24	2	10	+33	+4.2	74
2	St. Gallen	36	19	9	8	+23	+10.6	66
3	Lugano	36	18	9	9	+13	+0.7	63
4	Sion	36	16	13	7	+23	+15.1	61
5	Basel	36	16	8	12	+3	+10.1	56
6	Young Boys	36	14	9	13	+6	-0.9	51
7	Luzern	36	12	11	13	+6	+1.9	47
8	Servette	36	11	14	11	+4	+11.2	47
9	Lausanne	36	11	9	16	-10	+2.5	42
10	Zurich	36	11	5	20	-20	-9.2	38
11	Grasshoppers	36	6	9	21	-29	-20.0	27
12	Winterthur	36	5	8	23	-52	-26.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	2	4	+21	+2.2	38
2	Lugano	18	11	3	4	+12	+0.3	36
3	Sion	18	9	6	3	+15	+8.4	33
4	St. Gallen	18	10	2	6	+10	+13.6	32
5	Young Boys	18	9	4	5	+18	+12.8	31
6	Basel	18	8	6	4	+10	+19.1	30
7	Servette	18	6	7	5	+6	+7.0	25
8	Lausanne	18	6	5	7	+2	+10.5	23
9	Zurich	18	7	1	10	-5	-0.3	22
10	Luzern	18	4	7	7	+3	+4.1	19
11	Grasshoppers	18	3	5	10	-9	-7.9	14
12	Winterthur	18	3	5	10	-17	-4.7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	0	6	+12	+1.9	36
2	St. Gallen	18	9	7	2	+13	-3.0	34
3	Sion	18	7	7	4	+8	+6.7	28
4	Luzern	18	8	4	6	+3	-2.3	28
5	Lugano	18	7	6	5	+1	+0.4	27
6	Basel	18	8	2	8	-7	-9.0	26
7	Servette	18	5	7	6	-2	+4.2	22
8	Young Boys	18	5	5	8	-12	-13.7	20
9	Lausanne	18	5	4	9	-12	-8.1	19
10	Zurich	18	4	4	10	-15	-8.9	16
11	Grasshoppers	18	3	4	11	-20	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	18	2	3	13	-35	-21.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.