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Super League

Referee: S Wolfensberger

Luzern

U S T S U

3–1

Full-time

Zurich

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Zurich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

42%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

63%

37%

Both score Ø 61%

68%

53%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

5,08 xG 1,21

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 2

The table before the match Luzern 5. · Zurich 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	20	10	5	5	+7	+1.1	35
2	Basel	19	9	4	6	+21	+13.8	31
3	Lausanne	20	9	4	7	+8	+10.2	31
4	Servette	20	8	7	5	+2	-0.1	31
5	Luzern	19	8	6	5	+3	+1.4	30
6	Zurich	19	8	6	5	+0	-2.8	30
7	St. Gallen	20	7	8	5	+7	-4.8	29
8	Sion	19	7	5	7	+3	+8.8	26
9	Young Boys	20	6	7	7	-4	+3.0	25
10	Grasshoppers	20	4	7	9	-9	-4.0	19
11	Yverdon	20	4	6	10	-13	-12.1	18
12	Winterthur	20	3	5	12	-25	-14.4	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lausanne	10	7	1	2	+11	+9.0	22
2	Lugano	10	6	2	2	+7	+3.6	20
3	Servette	10	5	4	1	+4	+2.6	19
4	Young Boys	10	5	3	2	+4	+0.5	18
5	St. Gallen	10	4	5	1	+8	+1.5	17
6	Sion	10	4	4	2	+7	+12.1	16
7	Basel	9	5	1	3	+7	+11.1	16
8	Zurich	10	4	4	2	+2	-2.3	16
9	Luzern	9	4	2	3	+2	+5.1	14
10	Yverdon	10	3	2	5	-6	-3.9	11
11	Winterthur	10	3	1	6	-10	-3.8	10
12	Grasshoppers	10	1	6	3	-3	+4.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Luzern	10	4	4	2	+1	-3.8	16
2	Basel	10	4	3	3	+14	+2.6	15
3	Lugano	10	4	3	3	+0	-2.5	15
4	Zurich	9	4	2	3	-2	-0.4	14
5	St. Gallen	10	3	3	4	-1	-6.3	12
6	Servette	10	3	3	4	-2	-2.7	12
7	Sion	9	3	1	5	-4	-3.3	10
8	Grasshoppers	10	3	1	6	-6	-8.3	10
9	Lausanne	10	2	3	5	-3	+1.2	9
10	Yverdon	10	1	4	5	-7	-8.3	7
11	Young Boys	10	1	4	5	-8	+2.4	7
12	Winterthur	10	0	4	6	-15	-10.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.