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Super League

Referee: L Fahndrich

Zurich

U T T T S

1–4

Full-time

Luzern

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

2,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

75%

Both score Ø 71%

67%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,37 xG 3,51

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 22

6 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Zurich 8. · Luzern 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	24	18	1	5	+28	+2.3	55
2	St. Gallen	23	13	3	7	+15	+6.2	42
3	Lugano	24	12	6	6	+11	+0.0	42
4	Basel	24	11	6	7	+7	+12.0	39
5	Sion	24	9	10	5	+8	+5.5	37
6	Young Boys	24	9	6	9	-3	-3.7	33
7	Lausanne	24	7	8	9	-2	+3.5	29
8	Zurich	24	8	4	12	-9	+1.3	28
9	Luzern	24	6	9	9	-2	-4.8	27
10	Servette	24	6	8	10	-7	+4.9	26
11	Grasshoppers	24	4	8	12	-12	-13.4	20
12	Winterthur	23	3	5	15	-34	-14.0	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	8	1	3	+14	+1.5	25
2	Lugano	12	7	3	2	+11	+1.0	24
3	Sion	13	6	4	3	+8	+2.4	22
4	St. Gallen	12	7	0	5	+8	+8.4	21
5	Young Boys	11	6	2	3	+9	+6.5	20
6	Basel	12	5	4	3	+7	+16.1	19
7	Lausanne	12	4	4	4	+3	+8.6	16
8	Zurich	12	5	1	6	-1	+4.8	16
9	Luzern	12	2	5	5	-1	+1.6	11
10	Grasshoppers	12	2	5	5	-1	-4.8	11
11	Servette	12	2	5	5	-5	+1.3	11
12	Winterthur	11	2	3	6	-7	-2.3	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	12	10	0	2	+14	+0.8	30
2	St. Gallen	11	6	3	2	+7	-2.2	21
3	Basel	12	6	2	4	+0	-4.1	20
4	Lugano	12	5	3	4	+0	-1.0	18
5	Luzern	12	4	4	4	-1	-6.4	16
6	Sion	11	3	6	2	+0	+3.1	15
7	Servette	12	4	3	5	-2	+3.7	15
8	Lausanne	12	3	4	5	-5	-5.1	13
9	Young Boys	13	3	4	6	-12	-10.1	13
10	Zurich	12	3	3	6	-8	-3.5	12
11	Grasshoppers	12	2	3	7	-11	-8.6	9
12	Winterthur	12	1	2	9	-27	-11.6	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.