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Super League

Referee: H Qovanaj

Lausanne

T T S T S

1–3

Full-time

Luzern

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 32%

32%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

74%

82%

Both score Ø 72%

68%

76%

Average goals

3,1

3,8

Scored

1,5

1,9

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,65 xG 1,80

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

0 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 9. · Luzern 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	34	24	2	8	+37	+5.6	74
2	St. Gallen	34	18	9	7	+25	+10.2	63
3	Lugano	34	17	9	8	+13	-0.4	60
4	Sion	34	14	13	7	+18	+14.6	55
5	Basel	34	15	8	11	+4	+10.7	53
6	Young Boys	34	13	9	12	+4	-1.0	48
7	Luzern	34	11	10	13	+4	+2.5	43
8	Servette	34	10	13	11	+2	+9.6	43
9	Lausanne	34	11	9	14	-7	+1.7	42
10	Zurich	34	10	4	20	-21	-9.2	34
11	Grasshoppers	34	6	9	19	-26	-19.1	27
12	Winterthur	34	4	7	23	-53	-25.2	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	2	4	+21	+2.2	38
2	Lugano	16	10	3	3	+12	-0.8	33
3	St. Gallen	17	10	2	5	+13	+13.8	32
4	Sion	17	8	6	3	+13	+8.1	30
5	Young Boys	17	8	4	5	+15	+11.0	28
6	Basel	17	7	6	4	+8	+18.0	27
7	Servette	18	6	7	5	+6	+7.0	25
8	Lausanne	17	6	5	6	+4	+10.7	23
9	Zurich	17	6	1	10	-6	-0.3	19
10	Luzern	17	4	6	7	+3	+4.9	18
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	5	9	-7	-7.0	14
12	Winterthur	16	2	4	10	-18	-3.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	16	12	0	4	+16	+3.4	36
2	St. Gallen	17	8	7	2	+12	-3.6	31
3	Lugano	18	7	6	5	+1	+0.4	27
4	Basel	17	8	2	7	-4	-7.2	26
5	Sion	17	6	7	4	+5	+6.5	25
6	Luzern	17	7	4	6	+1	-2.4	25
7	Young Boys	17	5	5	7	-11	-12.0	20
8	Lausanne	17	5	4	8	-11	-9.0	19
9	Servette	16	4	6	6	-4	+2.6	18
10	Zurich	17	4	3	10	-15	-8.9	15
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	4	10	-19	-12.1	13
12	Winterthur	18	2	3	13	-35	-21.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.