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Super League
Referee: Mirel Turkes
Lugano
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Sion
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Sion
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
50%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
57%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,29 xG 1,00
47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 5. · Sion 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Thun 14 10 1 3 +11 -1.6 31
2 St. Gallen 14 9 0 5 +12 +3.4 27
3 Young Boys 14 7 4 3 +7 -0.4 25
4 Basel 14 7 2 5 +6 +10.2 23
5 Lugano 14 7 1 6 -1 +0.3 22
6 Sion 14 5 5 4 +3 +5.8 20
7 Luzern 14 4 6 4 +4 -0.3 18
8 Zurich 14 5 2 7 -6 +2.9 17
9 Lausanne 14 4 4 6 +3 +3.8 16
10 Servette 14 4 3 7 -5 +0.4 15
11 Grasshoppers 14 3 5 6 -9 -12.1 14
12 Winterthur 14 1 3 10 -25 -12.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugano Sion
Lars Lukas Mai 🟨
2′
27′
🟨 Jan Kronig
1–0 Y. Cimignani
29′
33′
🟨 Kreshnik Hajrizi
Half-time 1–0
C. Cassano 🔁
↦ D. Dos Santos
61′
63′
L. Chipperfield 1–1
72′
🔁 B. Kololli
↦ Y. Chouaref
72′
🔁 T. Berdayes
↦ L. Chipperfield
72′
🔁 J. Lukembila
↦ D. Rrudhani
A. Kendouci 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
75′
G. Koutsias 🔁
↦ H. Mahou
75′
R. Steffen 🔁
↦ Y. Cimignani
81′
A. Duville-Parsemain 🔁
↦ K. Behrens
81′
82′
🔁 T. Bouchlarhem
↦ R. Nivokazi
88′
🔁 N. Sow
↦ A. Kabacalman
Martim Marques 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
17 L. Mai D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
26 M. Marques D
20 O. Doumbia M
8 A. Grgic M
21 Y. Cimignani M
27 D. Dos Santos M
18 H. Mahou M
91 K. Behrens F
Bench (9)
99 D. Mina
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
4 D. Kelvin
19 C. Cassano
14 A. Kendouci
11 R. Steffen
97 A. Duville-Parsemain
9 G. Koutsias
24 E. Pihlstrom

Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

Sion

4-2-3-1
1 A. Racioppi G
14 N. Lavanchy D
28 K. Hajrizi D
17 J. Kronig D
20 N. Hefti D
88 A. Kabacalman M
8 Baltazar M
77 D. Rrudhani M
21 L. Chipperfield M
7 Y. Chouaref M
33 R. Nivokazi F
Bench (9)
12 F. Ruberto
6 Marquinhos Cipriano
5 N. Sow
11 T. Bouchlarhem
25 L. Diack
70 B. Kololli
29 T. Berdayes
13 W. Boteli
39 J. Lukembila

Coach: Didier Tholot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.