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Bundesliga

Referee: R Hartmann

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S U T U T

0–3

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,5

5,2

Scored

1,0

3,8

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+2,5

This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

21%

64%

Points per game

0,9

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

64%

79%

Both score Ø 72%

64%

79%

Average goals

3,2

3,9

Scored

1,1

2,8

Conceded

2,1

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,6

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

30% Possession 70%

4 Shots 21

1 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 9

11 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. · RB Leipzig 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	14	10	1	3	+14	31
2	RB Leipzig	14	9	3	2	+23	30
3	Dortmund	15	8	5	2	+18	29
4	Bayern Munich	15	8	3	4	+20	27
5	Schalke 04	14	7	4	3	+7	25
6	Freiburg	15	7	4	4	+6	25
7	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+2	25
8	Hoffenheim	15	6	3	6	-6	21
9	Wolfsburg	14	5	5	4	+1	20
10	Union Berlin	15	6	2	7	-1	20
11	Augsburg	15	5	5	5	-4	20
12	Ein Frankfurt	14	5	3	6	+2	18
13	Hertha	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Mainz	15	5	0	10	-18	15
15	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-12	14
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	3	3	8	-13	12
17	FC Koln	15	3	2	10	-16	11
18	Paderborn	15	2	3	10	-15	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Dortmund	7	5	2	0	+17	17
3	Bayern Munich	8	5	1	2	+17	16
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	4	3	1	+7	15
5	Union Berlin	8	5	0	3	+3	15
6	RB Leipzig	7	4	2	1	+12	14
7	Freiburg	7	4	2	1	+5	14
8	Leverkusen	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Schalke 04	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
11	Hoffenheim	8	3	1	4	-6	10
12	Wolfsburg	7	2	3	2	-1	9
13	Hertha	7	3	0	4	-3	9
14	Mainz	7	3	0	4	-4	9
15	FC Koln	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	2	1	3	-4	7
17	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
18	Paderborn	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	+11	16
2	Schalke 04	7	4	1	2	+5	13
3	M'gladbach	6	4	0	2	+4	12
4	Dortmund	8	3	3	2	+1	12
5	Leverkusen	7	4	0	3	-1	12
6	Bayern Munich	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Wolfsburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Freiburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Hoffenheim	7	3	2	2	+0	11
10	Werder Bremen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
11	Augsburg	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Hertha	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	Mainz	8	2	0	6	-14	6
14	Union Berlin	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Paderborn	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	1	2	5	-9	5
17	FC Koln	8	1	1	6	-13	4
18	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	0	5	-5	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.