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Bundesliga
Referee: G Winkmann
Stuttgart
T T S U S
1–1
Full-time
FC Koln
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,5
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 5. · FC Koln 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 4 3 1 0 +8 10
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 0 1 +9 9
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Ein Frankfurt 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Hoffenheim 4 2 0 2 +2 6
9 Leverkusen 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Union Berlin 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 M'gladbach 4 1 2 1 -1 5
12 Freiburg 4 1 2 1 -3 5
13 Wolfsburg 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Bielefeld 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Hertha 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 FC Koln 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Schalke 04 4 0 1 3 -14 1
18 Mainz 4 0 0 4 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart FC Koln
1–0 O. Mangala
S. Kalajdzic
1′
8′
🟨 Kingsley Ehizibue
17′
🔁 D. Limnios
↦ K. Ehizibue
23′
S. Andersson 1–1
M. Kamiński 🔁
↦ M. Kempf
34′
Half-time 1–1
Silas Wamangituka 🟨
51′
55′
🟨 Ismail Jakobs
N. González 🔁
↦ T. Coulibaly
56′
R. Massimo 🔁
↦ S. Wamangituka
56′
68′
🟨 Ondrej Duda
70′
🔁 A. Modeste
↦ S. Andersson
72′
🟨 Ellyes Skhiri
P. Klement 🔁
↦ D. Didavi
74′
D. Churlinov 🔁
↦ S. Kalajdzic
74′
Atakan Karazor 🟨
80′
81′
🔁 N. Katterbach
↦ J. Horn
81′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ O. Duda
88′
🟨 Salih Özcan
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
16 A. Karazor D
15 P. Stenzel D
10 D. Didavi F
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
7 T. Coulibaly M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
35 M. Kamiński
22 N. González
30 R. Massimo
21 P. Klement
19 D. Churlinov
18 H. Al Ghaddioui
25 L. Egloff
31 M. Klimowicz
33 F. Bredlow

Coach: P. Matarazzo

FC Koln

4-3-3
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
23 J. Horn D
19 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. Bornauw D
8 I. Jakobs F
18 O. Duda M
31 M. Wolf F
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj M
9 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
15 D. Limnios
27 A. Modeste
3 N. Katterbach
21 S. Özcan
16 R. Zieler
24 D. Drexler
22 Jorge Meré
29 J. Thielmann
2 B. Schmitz

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,92
U ✓
3,91
B
3,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Winkmann · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.