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Bundesliga
Referee: H Osmers
Hertha
S T S T T
0–2
Full-time
Stuttgart
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,7
Scored
2,0
3,2
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,3
4,0
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
2,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 13. · Stuttgart 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 Augsburg 3 2 1 0 +4 7
3 Ein Frankfurt 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Bayern Munich 3 2 0 1 +6 6
5 Dortmund 3 2 0 1 +5 6
6 Hoffenheim 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 Werder Bremen 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Stuttgart 3 1 1 1 +2 4
9 Union Berlin 3 1 1 1 +2 4
10 Bielefeld 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 M'gladbach 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Freiburg 3 1 1 1 -3 4
13 Hertha 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Leverkusen 3 0 3 0 +0 3
15 Wolfsburg 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 FC Koln 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Mainz 3 0 0 3 -9 0
18 Schalke 04 3 0 0 3 -14 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Stuttgart
9′
M. Kempf 0–1
D. Didavi
Matheus Cunha 🟨
15′
D. Zeefuik 🔁
↦ P. Pekarík
20′
28′
🟨 Saša Kalajdžić
45′
🟨 Daniel Didavi
Half-time 0–1
D. Lukébakio 🔁
↦ M. Leckie
46′
64′
🔁 N. González
↦ T. Coulibaly
64′
🔁 M. Klimowicz
↦ D. Didavi
J. Dilrosun 🔁
↦ M. Plattenhardt
66′
68′
G. Castro 0–2
M. Klimowicz
Niklas Stark 🟨
74′
E. Löwen 🔁
↦ D. Zeefuik
78′
K. Piątek 🔁
↦ V. Darida
78′
87′
🔁 H. Al Ghaddioui
↦ S. Kalajdzic
89′
🔁 M. Kamiński
↦ S. Wamangituka
89′
🔁 L. Egloff
↦ G. Castro
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
20 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark D
17 M. Mittelstädt M
7 M. Leckie M
6 V. Darida M
29 L. Tousart M
15 J. Córdoba F
10 Matheus Cunha M
Bench (9)
42 D. Zeefuik
11 D. Lukébakio
16 J. Dilrosun
23 E. Löwen
9 K. Piątek
14 O. Alderete
22 R. Jarstein
32 L. Netz
27 J. Ngankam

Coach: B. Labbadia

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
16 A. Karazor D
15 P. Stenzel D
10 D. Didavi F
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
7 T. Coulibaly M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
22 N. González
31 M. Klimowicz
18 H. Al Ghaddioui
35 M. Kamiński
25 L. Egloff
36 L. Mack
33 F. Bredlow
21 P. Klement
26 A. Aidonis

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,06
U
3,81
B ✓
3,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

H Osmers · 139 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.