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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
FC Koln
U U T U S
1–3
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
24%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
41%
71%
Both score Ø 56%
47%
65%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 5
2 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 9. · Stuttgart 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 1 1 +39 49
2 Dortmund 17 12 2 3 +24 38
3 Hertha 17 10 2 5 +8 32
4 M'gladbach 17 9 2 6 +4 29
5 Leverkusen 17 8 3 6 +5 27
6 Schalke 04 17 8 3 6 +0 27
7 Wolfsburg 17 7 5 5 +5 26
8 Mainz 17 7 3 7 +0 24
9 FC Koln 17 6 6 5 -3 24
10 Hamburg 18 6 4 8 -5 22
11 FC Ingolstadt 04 17 5 5 7 -7 20
12 Augsburg 17 5 4 8 -5 19
13 Darmstadt 17 4 6 7 -9 18
14 Ein Frankfurt 17 4 5 8 -7 17
15 Stuttgart 17 4 3 10 -15 15
16 Werder Bremen 17 4 3 10 -15 15
17 Hannover 17 4 2 11 -11 14
18 Hoffenheim 17 2 7 8 -8 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Aug -15 Stuttgart – FC Koln 1–3

Match report

FC Koln Stuttgart
18′
🟨 Georg Niedermeier
1–0 A. Modeste
19′
36′
D. Didavi 1–1
Half-time 1–2
51′
T. Werner 1–2
F. Kostić
S. Zoller 🔁
↦ P. Olkowski
52′
F. Mladenović 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
66′
M. Jojić 🔁
↦ K. Vogt
71′
77′
🔁 A. Kravets
↦ T. Werner
83′
C. Gentner 1–3
L. Rupp
87′
🔁 F. Klein
↦ L. Rupp
92′
🔁 T. Baumgartl
↦ F. Kostić
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

FC Koln

1 T. Horn G
5 D. Maroh D
16 P. Olkowski D
14 J. Hector M
3 D. Heintz D
33 M. Lehmann M
7 M. Risse M
6 K. Vogt D
21 L. Bittencourt M
27 A. Modeste F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
11 S. Zoller
25 F. Mladenović
8 M. Jojić
4 F. Sørensen
15 P. Hosiner
18 T. Kessler
31 Y. Gerhardt

Stuttgart

22 P. Tytoń
2 E. Insúa D
3 D. Schwaab D
6 G. Niedermeier D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
15 K. Großkreutz D
10 D. Didavi M
8 L. Rupp M
18 F. Kostić M
19 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
23 A. Kravets
16 F. Klein
5 T. Baumgartl
1 M. Langerak
9 R. Kruse
34 B. Tashchi
44 A. Maxim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.