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Bundesliga
Referee: P Ittrich
Bielefeld
S S U S U
1–0
Full-time
FC Koln
T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,5
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 9. · FC Koln 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Hertha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Wolfsburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Leverkusen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 FC Koln 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Stuttgart 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Union Berlin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 M'gladbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
18 Schalke 04 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld FC Koln
17′
🟨 Jonas Hector
43′
🟨 Rafael Czichos
Fabian Klos 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Drexler
↦ J. Hector
62′
🔁 D. Limnios
↦ J. Thielmann
J. Edmundsson 🔁
↦ S. Córdova
67′
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ R. Doan
73′
75′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ O. Duda
76′
🔁 T. Arokodare
↦ S. Andersson
1–0 J. Edmundsson
S. Ortega Moreno
78′
86′
🔁 F. Sørensen
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
F. Kunze 🔁
↦ M. Hartel
88′
Cebio Soukou 🟨
89′
Sven Schipplock 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Frederik Sørensen
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-3-3
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
6 M. van der Hoorn D
27 C. Brunner D
23 A. Lucoqui D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
17 C. Soukou F
30 M. Hartel M
8 R. Doan M
9 F. Klos F
18 S. Córdova F
Bench (9)
14 J. Edmundsson
36 S. Schipplock
16 F. Kunze
20 N. Seufert
7 C. Gebauer
5 J. Laursen
4 J. Nilsson
34 O. Linnér
38 J. Consbruch

Coach: U. Neuhaus

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
23 J. Horn D
19 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. Bornauw D
14 J. Hector M
18 O. Duda M
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj M
29 J. Thielmann M
9 S. Andersson F
Bench (9)
24 D. Drexler
15 D. Limnios
21 S. Özcan
7 T. Arokodare
30 F. Sørensen
16 R. Zieler
26 S. Cestic
6 M. Höger
3 N. Katterbach

Coach: M. Gisdol

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,71
U
3,52
B
2,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,65
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Ittrich · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.