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Bundesliga
Referee: Sören Storks
FC Koln
U T T U S
2–3
Full-time
Stuttgart
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 28%
17%
38%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
54%
29%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 18. · Stuttgart 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 19 3 2 +37 60
2 Schalke 04 25 12 7 6 +9 43
3 Dortmund 25 11 9 5 +19 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 25 12 6 7 +6 42
5 Leverkusen 25 11 8 6 +12 41
6 RB Leipzig 25 11 6 8 +4 39
7 Hoffenheim 25 9 8 8 +2 35
8 M'gladbach 25 10 5 10 -4 35
9 Augsburg 25 8 8 9 +1 32
10 Hannover 25 8 8 9 -3 32
11 Hertha 25 7 10 8 -1 31
12 Stuttgart 24 9 3 12 -7 30
13 Freiburg 24 6 11 7 -13 29
14 Werder Bremen 25 6 9 10 -6 27
15 Wolfsburg 25 4 13 8 -5 25
16 Mainz 25 6 7 12 -13 25
17 Hamburg 25 4 6 15 -17 18
18 FC Koln 24 4 5 15 -21 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Stuttgart
1–0 C. Pizarro
Y. Ōsako
7′
34′
🟨 Holger Badstuber
45′
M. Gómez 1–1
E. Thommy
Half-time 1–2
47′
M. Gómez 1–2
E. Thommy
Frederik Sørensen 🟨
53′
57′
A. Beck 1–3
E. Thommy
L. Bittencourt 🔁
↦ C. Pizarro
60′
66′
🔁 D. Aogo
↦ S. Ascacíbar
J. Córdoba 🔁
↦ F. Sørensen
69′
77′
🔁 C. Akolo
↦ E. Thommy
M. Jojić 🔁
↦ V. Koziello
83′
85′
🟨 Timo Baumgartl
2–3 M. Jojić
86′
90′
🟨 Mario Gómez
92′
🔁 M. Kamiński
↦ D. Ginczek
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-4-2-1
1 T. Horn G
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
22 Jorge Meré D
7 M. Risse M
6 M. Höger M
14 J. Hector M
41 V. Koziello M
39 C. Pizarro F
9 S. Terodde F
13 Y. Ōsako F
Bench (7)
21 L. Bittencourt
15 J. Córdoba
8 M. Jojić
5 D. Maroh
18 T. Kessler
20 S. Özcan
33 M. Lehmann

Coach: S. Ruthenbeck

Stuttgart

4-4-2
16 R. Zieler G
32 A. Beck D
2 E. Insúa D
28 H. Badstuber D
5 T. Baumgartl D
21 B. Pavard D
20 C. Gentner M
17 E. Thommy M
6 S. Ascacíbar M
27 M. Gómez F
33 D. Ginczek F
Bench (7)
3 D. Aogo
19 C. Akolo
35 M. Kamiński
13 J. Grahl
14 A. Donis
23 O. Mangala
31 B. Özcan

Coach: T. Korkut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sören Storks · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.