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Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Dortmund
T S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-3,5
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
75%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
0,5
4,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-3,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

74% Possession 26%
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 3. · Schalke 04 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Bayern Munich 5 4 0 1 +14 12
3 Dortmund 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Stuttgart 5 2 2 1 +4 8
5 M'gladbach 5 2 2 1 +0 8
6 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 -2 8
7 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Hoffenheim 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Union Berlin 5 1 3 1 +2 6
11 Leverkusen 4 1 3 0 +1 6
12 Freiburg 5 1 3 1 -3 6
13 Wolfsburg 4 0 4 0 +0 4
14 Bielefeld 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Hertha 5 1 0 4 -3 3
16 FC Koln 5 0 2 3 -4 2
17 Schalke 04 4 0 1 3 -14 1
18 Mainz 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund Schalke 04
13′
🟨 Omar Mascarell
Half-time 1–0
1–0 M. Akanji
55′
56′
🔁 C. Bozdogan
↦ N. Bentaleb
56′
🔁 A. Kutucu
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
2–0 E. Haaland
J. Sancho
61′
A. Witsel 🔁
↦ M. Dahoud
71′
F. Passlack 🔁
↦ G. Reyna
71′
71′
🔁 B. Raman
↦ R. Matondo
T. Hazard 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
77′
M. Reus 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
77′
3–0 M. Hummels
Raphaël Guerreiro
78′
Mateu Morey 🔁
↦ T. Meunier
80′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
16 M. Akanji D
6 T. Delaney M
24 T. Meunier D
19 J. Brandt M
8 M. Dahoud M
7 J. Sancho M
32 G. Reyna M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (9)
28 A. Witsel
30 F. Passlack
10 T. Hazard
11 M. Reus
2 Mateu Morey
22 J. Bellingham
26 Ł. Piszczek
20 Reinier
35 M. Hitz

Coach: L. Favre

Schalke 04

3-5-2
23 F. Rønnow G
24 B. Oczipka M
5 M. Nastasić D
26 S. Sané D
2 K. Ludewig M
33 M. Thiaw D
6 Omar Mascarell M
10 N. Bentaleb M
25 A. Harit M
18 Gonçalo Paciência F
14 R. Matondo F
Bench (9)
40 C. Bozdogan
15 A. Kutucu
9 B. Raman
17 B. Stambouli
28 A. Schöpf
11 V. Ibišević
34 M. Langer
22 S. Skrzybski
3 H. Mendyl

Coach: M. Baum

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,21
U
6,84
B
13,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.