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Bundesliga

Referee: R Schröder

Augsburg

T T S T U

1–1

Full-time

Freiburg

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,8

This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,6

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,4

2,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

10 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 1

3 Offside 6

15 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 9. · Freiburg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+16	19
2	Dortmund	8	6	0	2	+13	18
3	Leverkusen	8	5	3	0	+7	18
4	RB Leipzig	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Wolfsburg	9	4	5	0	+6	17
6	Union Berlin	8	4	3	1	+10	15
7	M'gladbach	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Stuttgart	8	2	5	1	+4	11
9	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Werder Bremen	9	2	5	2	-2	11
11	Ein Frankfurt	8	2	5	1	-2	11
12	Hoffenheim	8	2	2	4	-1	8
13	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-3	7
14	Freiburg	8	1	3	4	-10	6
15	Mainz	8	1	1	6	-11	4
16	Bielefeld	8	1	1	6	-12	4
17	FC Koln	8	0	3	5	-6	3
18	Schalke 04	8	0	3	5	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Wolfsburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+14	10
4	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+9	9
5	Union Berlin	4	2	1	1	+7	7
6	Leverkusen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	M'gladbach	4	1	3	0	+1	6
9	Augsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Bielefeld	4	1	0	3	-5	3
14	Freiburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
15	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	FC Koln	5	0	1	4	-5	1
17	Mainz	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Hertha	4	0	1	3	-7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Stuttgart	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Union Berlin	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+4	6
7	Wolfsburg	4	1	3	0	+2	6
8	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	M'gladbach	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Freiburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
15	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	FC Koln	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Bielefeld	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Schalke 04	4	0	1	3	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.