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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Augsburg

S S U T T

3–1

Full-time

Mainz

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

2,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-2,0

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,4

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,4

3,8

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

5 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Augsburg 11. · Mainz 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+9	13
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+14	12
3	Dortmund	5	4	0	1	+9	12
4	Stuttgart	6	2	3	1	+4	9
5	Leverkusen	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	M'gladbach	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Werder Bremen	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	2	2	1	-2	8
9	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Union Berlin	5	1	3	1	+2	6
13	Freiburg	5	1	3	1	-3	6
14	Bielefeld	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Hertha	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	FC Koln	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	Schalke 04	6	0	2	4	-17	2
18	Mainz	5	0	0	5	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	RB Leipzig	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Union Berlin	3	1	1	1	+2	4
6	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	+2	3
10	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Bielefeld	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Freiburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Stuttgart	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Schalke 04	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	FC Koln	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Mainz	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Leverkusen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Hoffenheim	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Augsburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Ein Frankfurt	3	1	1	1	-3	4
9	Freiburg	3	1	1	1	-3	4
10	Hertha	3	1	0	2	+1	3
11	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Union Berlin	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	FC Koln	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Bielefeld	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-6	0
18	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.