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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
FC Koln
S T S S T
0–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
57%
62%
Both score Ø 67%
57%
76%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 9
0 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 14. · Stuttgart 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 21 15 4 2 +32 49
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 +19 44
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 +16 42
4 Ein Frankfurt 21 10 9 2 +14 39
5 Leverkusen 21 10 6 5 +16 36
6 Dortmund 21 10 3 8 +10 33
7 M'gladbach 21 8 9 4 +6 33
8 Freiburg 21 8 7 6 +2 31
9 Union Berlin 21 7 9 5 +9 30
10 Stuttgart 21 6 8 7 +3 26
11 Werder Bremen 20 5 8 7 -3 23
12 Hoffenheim 21 6 5 10 -7 23
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 -13 22
14 FC Koln 21 5 6 10 -15 21
15 Hertha 21 4 6 11 -11 18
16 Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 -20 18
17 Mainz 21 3 5 13 -21 14
18 Schalke 04 21 1 6 14 -37 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Stuttgart
Sava Cestic 🟨
19′
29′
🟨 Marc-Oliver Kempf
Half-time 0–1
49′
S. Kalajdzic 0–1
B. Sosa
D. Drexler 🔁
↦ S. Cestic
61′
67′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ G. Castro
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ K. Ehizibue
69′
S. Özcan 🔁
↦ O. Duda
69′
74′
🔁 M. Klimowicz
↦ S. Kalajdzic
75′
🔁 T. Coulibaly
↦ P. Förster
85′
🔁 P. Stenzel
↦ S. Wamangituka
85′
🔁 A. Karazor
↦ K. Mavropanos
Rafael Czichos 🟨
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

5-3-2
1 T. Horn G
5 R. Czichos D
22 Jorge Meré D
19 K. Ehizibue D
8 I. Jakobs D
26 S. Cestic D
18 O. Duda F
31 M. Wolf M
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj M
43 E. Dennis F
Bench (9)
24 D. Drexler
13 M. Meyer
21 S. Özcan
15 D. Limnios
3 N. Katterbach
16 R. Zieler
2 B. Schmitz
29 J. Thielmann
23 J. Horn

Coach: M. Gisdol

Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
4 M. Kempf D
2 W. Anton D
24 B. Sosa M
5 K. Mavropanos D
8 G. Castro F
3 W. Endo M
20 P. Förster F
23 O. Mangala M
9 S. Kalajdzic F
14 S. Wamangituka M
Bench (9)
11 E. Thommy
31 M. Klimowicz
7 T. Coulibaly
15 P. Stenzel
16 A. Karazor
21 P. Klement
29 A. Cissé
33 F. Bredlow
10 D. Didavi

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,44
U
3,59
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,73
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.