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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Schalke 04
S S S U T
0–0
Full-time
Dortmund
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 76%
63%
88%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,9
3,9
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
5 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 7. · Dortmund 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 8 5 1 2 +8 16
2 Wolfsburg 8 4 4 0 +6 16
3 Bayern Munich 8 4 3 1 +12 15
4 Dortmund 8 4 3 1 +9 15
5 RB Leipzig 8 4 3 1 +8 15
6 Freiburg 8 4 2 2 +6 14
7 Schalke 04 8 4 2 2 +5 14
8 Ein Frankfurt 8 4 2 2 +4 14
9 Leverkusen 8 4 2 2 +1 14
10 Hertha 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Hoffenheim 8 3 2 3 -3 11
12 Werder Bremen 8 2 3 3 -4 9
13 Mainz 9 3 0 6 -9 9
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 8 2 1 5 -4 7
15 Union Berlin 8 2 1 5 -5 7
16 FC Koln 9 2 1 6 -10 7
17 Augsburg 8 1 3 4 -11 6
18 Paderborn 8 0 1 7 -13 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Dortmund
18′
🟨 Julian Weigl
Benjamin Stambouli 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–0
58′
🔁 T. Hazard
↦ M. Götze
70′
🟨 Thorgan Hazard
74′
🔁 M. Akanji
↦ T. Delaney
A. Kutucu 🔁
↦ R. Matondo
80′
Salif Sané 🟨
83′
A. Schöpf 🔁
↦ D. Caligiuri
84′
86′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ A. Hakimi
Ahmed Kutucu 🟨
90′
O. Kabak 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-1-3-2
35 A. Nübel G
24 B. Oczipka D
17 B. Stambouli D
26 S. Sané D
20 J. Kenny D
18 D. Caligiuri M
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
25 A. Harit M
19 G. Burgstaller F
14 R. Matondo F
Bench (9)
15 A. Kutucu
28 A. Schöpf
4 O. Kabak
5 M. Nastasić
37 M. Mercan
7 M. Uth
3 Juan Miranda
23 M. Schubert
9 B. Raman

Coach: D. Wagner

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
35 M. Hitz G
15 M. Hummels D
26 Ł. Piszczek D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
5 A. Hakimi M
28 A. Witsel M
6 T. Delaney M
10 M. Götze F
33 J. Weigl D
7 J. Sancho M
11 M. Reus M
Bench (9)
23 T. Hazard
16 M. Akanji
19 J. Brandt
37 T. Raschl
8 M. Dahoud
2 D. Zagadou
40 E. Oelschlägel
14 N. Schulz
34 J. Bruun Larsen

Coach: L. Favre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,07
U ✓
3,51
B
2,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,18
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.