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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Schalke 04
U T U T T
0–0
Full-time
Mainz
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,5
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 11%
4%
17%
Points per game
0,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
70%
52%
Both score Ø 50%
43%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
2,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
2 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 10
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Mainz 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 16 4 3 +35 52
2 RB Leipzig 23 15 5 3 +23 50
3 Wolfsburg 23 12 9 2 +18 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 23 11 9 3 +14 42
5 Dortmund 23 12 3 8 +17 39
6 Leverkusen 23 10 7 6 +15 37
7 Union Berlin 23 8 10 5 +10 34
8 Freiburg 23 9 7 7 +2 34
9 M'gladbach 23 8 9 6 +4 33
10 Stuttgart 23 8 8 7 +8 32
11 Hoffenheim 23 7 6 10 -3 27
12 Werder Bremen 22 6 8 8 -6 26
13 Augsburg 23 7 5 11 -12 26
14 FC Koln 23 5 6 12 -20 21
15 Hertha 23 4 6 13 -16 18
16 Bielefeld 22 5 3 14 -23 18
17 Mainz 23 4 5 14 -21 17
18 Schalke 04 23 1 6 16 -45 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Mainz
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
9′
Half-time 0–0
B. Stambouli 🔁
↦ C. Bozdogan
46′
46′
🔁 J. Boëtius
↦ D. Latza
47′
🟨 Stefan Bell
50′
🟨 Ádám Szalai
L. Schuler 🔁
↦ M. Hoppe
61′
74′
🔁 R. Glatzel
↦ Ádám Szalai
Omar Mascarell 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
78′
80′
🔁 D. Brosinski
↦ D. da Costa
Omar Mascarell 🟨
84′
89′
🔁 K. Stöger
↦ L. Barreiro
89′
🔁 R. Quaison
↦ J. Burkardt
B. Oczipka 🔁
↦ B. Raman
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

3-4-1-2
23 F. Rønnow G
30 S. Mustafi D
20 S. Kolašinac M
13 William M
31 T. Becker D
33 M. Thiaw D
8 S. Serdar M
40 C. Bozdogan F
42 K. Çalhanoğlu M
9 B. Raman F
43 M. Hoppe F
Bench (9)
17 B. Stambouli
27 L. Schuler
6 Omar Mascarell
24 B. Oczipka
41 F. Flick
34 M. Langer
37 L. Mercan
28 A. Schöpf
25 A. Harit

Coach: D. Grammozis

Mainz

3-5-2
27 R. Zentner G
16 S. Bell D
23 P. Mwene M
22 D. da Costa M
19 M. Niakhate D
4 J. St. Juste D
6 D. Latza M
31 D. Kohr M
35 L. Barreiro M
28 Ádám Szalai F
29 J. Burkardt F
Bench (9)
5 J. Boëtius
9 R. Glatzel
18 D. Brosinski
17 K. Stöger
7 R. Quaison
42 A. Hack
37 F. Dahmen
14 P. Malong
8 L. Öztunali

Coach: B. Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U ✓
3,54
B
2,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.